Match Prediction: Kerry vs Finn Harps – First Division Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

Kerry likely show slight edge based on home advantage and proactive pressing.
Finn Harps may compete strategically but could be outpaced in transition situations.
Betting lean favors Kerry in 1X2 or handicap markets with moderate risk.
There is risk from disciplined defense and counter chances for Finn Harps.

Finished July 24, 21:45
Kerry Kerry
Finn Harps Finn Harps
General
Sport Football
League First Division
Country Ireland
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 24, 21:45
Status Finished
Referee -
Stadium Mounthawk Park
Comparing commands
Form
Home 71%
Guests 29%
Attack
Home 70%
Guests 30%
Protection
Home 67%
Guests 33%
Goals
Home 36%
Guests 64%
H2H
Home 29%
Guests 71%
Result
Home 57.0%
Guests 43.0%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Kerry - Finn Harps May 8, 21:45, First Division 0 : 1
Kerry - Finn Harps March 20, 22:45, First Division 1 : 0
Kerry - Finn Harps October 13, 21:45, First Division 1 : 1
Kerry - Finn Harps August 8, 21:45, First Division 0 : 1
Kerry - Finn Harps April 18, 21:45, First Division 2 : 4
Kerry - Finn Harps February 14, 22:45, First Division 2 : 0
Kerry - Finn Harps September 27, 21:45, First Division 1 : 1

Prediction and Historical Statistics

First Division Ireland · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Kerry (Win or draw)

Home: 45% Draw: 45% Away: 10%

Advice: Double chance : Kerry or draw

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -2.5 / Away -1.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Kerry
Kerry

Form: LLDDDWLLLDDLDWLWDLWWWLD

Matches: 23 played (W: 6, D: 8, L: 9)

Goals: 1.0 avg scored / 1.3 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 5

Failed to score: 5

Finn Harps
Finn Harps

Form: LWDDDLWDDLLLLWWLDLLLDWL

Matches: 23 played (W: 5, D: 7, L: 11)

Goals: 0.9 avg scored / 1.7 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 4

Failed to score: 8

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Analytics

Basic forecast
Prediction focuses on Kerry to win 1X2 with a small handicap cushion.
Market pick: Kerry to win or draw (double chance) at 1X2.
Reasoning: home advantage and established offensive tempo suit this venue.
Support: a narrow win or draw aligns with typical First Division dynamics.
Total forecast
Total goals: Under 2.5 goals is favored given cautious play and potential for defensive stability.
Alternative: BTTS No could be priced if both sides show structured back lines.
Market pick: Under 2.5 goals.
Rationale: balanced attack and solid defenses reduce goal expectancy.
Kerry
Kerry
Kerry tends to press high and control tempo when at home.
Strengths include transition play and finishing quality inside the box.
Weaknesses may appear if pressed into wider build-up phases.
Matchup fit: favorable against an opponent that counters with compact shape.
Finn Harps
Finn Harps
Finn Harps deploy compact, structured defense and quick counters.
Strengths include disciplined shape and set-piece focus.
Weaknesses could manifest under sustained pressure and wider overloads.
Matchup fit: pragmatic approach can test Kerry's creativity but scoring opportunities may be limited.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Events of the Kerry - Finn Harps match
Kerry
Kerry
Finn Harps
Finn Harps
Гол
С. Мкграт
10'
20'
Желтая карточка
Бенни
Гол
К. Баргари
30'
36'
Гол
Г. Приости
Желтая карточка
С. О'Коннелл
45'
Substitution 1
С. Мкграт (assist: К. Броснан)
59'
67'
Substitution 1
Г. Приости (assist: А. Мкдаид)
77'
Substitution 2
Т. МкНамее (assist: Б. Босакани)
Substitution 2
К. Баргари (assist: М. Бриттон)
83'
Substitution 3
К. Мурфи (assist: Л. Палмер)
83'
89'
Substitution 3
А. Фанле (assist: Л. Дохерти)
89'
Substitution 4
Д. Коиле (assist: К. Тоуриш)
90+4'
Желтая карточка
А. Мкдаид
Желтая карточка
К. Броснан
90+4'

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