Match Prediction: Wexford vs Kerry – First Division Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

The likely better side is Kerry due to better recent form and away performance indicators, but the match is potentially balanced.
The main risk is a possible defensive grind from Wexford at home, which could reduce margins.
Betting lean: X2 or Draw no bet on Kerry could be reasonable with careful stake, avoiding heavy commitment on margin.
There is a credible chance of a low-scoring affair, so consider under 2.5 goals if you prefer a cautious play.

Finished July 10, 21:45
Wexford Wexford
Kerry Kerry
General
Sport Football
League First Division
Country Ireland
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 10, 21:45
Status Finished
Referee -
Stadium Ferrycarrig Park
Comparing commands
Form
Home 18%
Guests 82%
Attack
Home 29%
Guests 71%
Protection
Home 36%
Guests 64%
Goals
Home 56%
Guests 44%
H2H
Home 62%
Guests 38%
Result
Home 43.3%
Guests 56.7%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Wexford - Kerry May 15, 21:45, First Division 1 : 2
Wexford - Kerry March 13, 22:45, First Division 1 : 1
Wexford - Kerry October 10, 21:45, First Division 2 : 0
Wexford - Kerry June 27, 21:45, First Division 4 : 3
Wexford - Kerry May 16, 21:45, First Division 1 : 1
Wexford - Kerry March 21, 22:45, First Division 1 : 2
Wexford - Kerry October 11, 21:45, First Division 4 : 0

Prediction and Historical Statistics

First Division Ireland · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Kerry (Win or draw)

Home: 10% Draw: 45% Away: 45%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kerry

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -1.5 / Away -1.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Wexford
Wexford

Form: WLDDDLWWDWLWWLLLWLLDDL

Matches: 22 played (W: 7, D: 6, L: 9)

Goals: 1.1 avg scored / 1.4 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 6

Failed to score: 7

Kerry
Kerry

Form: LLDDDWLLLDDLDWLWDLWWWL

Matches: 22 played (W: 6, D: 7, L: 9)

Goals: 1.0 avg scored / 1.2 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 5

Failed to score: 5

Recommended Sportsbook

Analytics

Basic forecast
Draft pick: Draw or Kerry win (X2) with a focus on under 2.5 goals.
Rationale: balanced odds and a likelihood of a tight match in a league setting.
Secondary consideration: BTTSNo or over/under 2.5 goals depending on live odds during the game.
Market emphasis: X2 with a small stake to capture value if Kerry avoid loss at away ground.
Total forecast
Total goals: Under 2.5 goals is favored given the probable tight nature of the match.
Alternative total: If odds shift, consider Under 1.5 goals for a very cautious approach.
BTTS market: Not strongly supported by current signals, but remains a marginal consideration.
Final stance: Target Under 2.5 goals with a small exposure on X2 as the paired bet.
Wexford
Wexford
Wexford specialize in compact defending at Ferrycarrig Park and rely on counter opportunities.
Strengths include organization and home crowd momentum, which can frustrate higher-ranked sides.
Weaknesses involve limited goal-scoring threat when pressed high by opponents.
Matchup fit: Home compactness against an opponent with stronger midfield, suggesting a structured but low-scoring encounter.
Kerry
Kerry
Kerry bring higher athletic tempo and better ball progression through midfield.
Strengths include pressing intensity and finishing options inside the box when opportunities arise.
Weaknesses could be exposure to quick transitions if pressed high by Wexford.
Matchup fit: Away efficiency and creative buildup may unlock a narrow victory if Kerry exploit wings and set-pieces.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Events of the Wexford - Kerry match
Wexford
Wexford
Kerry
Kerry
Гол
К. Харнетт
26'
32'
Гол
Дж. Хäккинен
42'
Желтая карточка
Д. Оквуте
53'
Желтая карточка
Э. Лее
Substitution 1
Риан Ритчие (assist: Г. Теттех)
58'
61'
Substitution 1
К. Броснан (assist: С. Мкграт)
Substitution 2
Р. Бутлер (assist: З. О'Сулливан)
71'
72'
Substitution 2
К. Баргари (assist: М. Бриттон)
Substitution 3
Й. Винне (assist: Г. Ходгинс)
82'
Желтая карточка
84'
Желтая карточка
84'
86'
Гол
С. Мкграт
Желтая карточка
К. Харнетт
89'
Гол
З. О'Сулливан
90+4'
The latest face-to-face meetings between Wexford - Kerry

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