Match Prediction: Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay – USL Championship Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

Balanced likelihood with a slight edge to Phoenix Rising due to home comfort at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.
Monterey Bay may rise on away stability but face stronger defensive pressure here.
Risk factors include form dips for both teams and possible tactical adjustments.
Betting lean: under 2.5 goals with a home-price preference for Phoenix Rising as the safer pick.

Finished July 19, 05:30
Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising
Monterey Bay Monterey Bay
General
Sport Football
League USL Championship
Country USA
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 19, 05:30
Status Finished
Referee -
Stadium Wild Horse Pass Stadium
Comparing commands
Form
Home 29%
Guests 71%
Attack
Home 50%
Guests 50%
Protection
Home 29%
Guests 71%
Goals
Home 50%
Guests 50%
H2H
Home 40%
Guests 60%
Result
Home 46.0%
Guests 54.0%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay May 18, 05:00, USL Championship 2 : 0
Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay March 30, 05:00, USL Championship 1 : 3
Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay October 5, 05:30, USL Championship 1 : 2
Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay March 17, 05:00, USL Championship 0 : 1
Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay July 30, 05:00, USL Championship 2 : 0
Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay April 16, 05:30, USL Championship 1 : 1
Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay September 22, 05:30, USL Championship 3 : 3

Prediction and Historical Statistics

USL Championship USA · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Monterey Bay (Win or draw)

Home: 10% Draw: 45% Away: 45%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Monterey Bay

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -2.5 / Away -2.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Phoenix Rising
Phoenix Rising

Form: LDDDLWWWDLWLDLL

Matches: 15 played (W: 4, D: 5, L: 6)

Goals: 1.3 avg scored / 1.5 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 4

Failed to score: 3

Monterey Bay
Monterey Bay

Form: LLDLDLLLLWWWLWD

Matches: 15 played (W: 4, D: 3, L: 8)

Goals: 0.9 avg scored / 1.5 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 4

Failed to score: 6

Recommended Sportsbook

Analytics

Basic forecast
Phoenix Rising to win or draw in a 1X.
The match is likely cagey with defensive resilience from both teams.
Home advantage at Wild Horse Pass Stadium adds edge for Phoenix.
Recommend staking on 1X where Phoenix wins or draws, reflecting balanced odds and form.
Total forecast
Under 2.5 goals is a plausible outcome given low goals per game in recent form.
BTTS is less favored due to conservative offensive numbers from both sides.
If forced, consider a small bet on Under 2.5 goals with a focus on the first-half containment.
Markets to watch include total goals and the 1X double chance for safer exposure.
Phoenix Rising
Phoenix Rising
Phoenix Rising benefits from home setup and familiarity at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.
They have shown limited concede rate and low scoring across recent fixtures.
Strength lies in structured defense and counter opportunities against mid-block defenses.
This matchup favors Phoenix when controlling tempo and preserving a tight backline.
Monterey Bay
Monterey Bay
Monterey Bay presents disciplined defense and counter potential on the road.
Weaknesses include inconsistency in finishing and creating high-quality chances.
Matchup fit hinges on solid midfield battles and exploiting any space on transitions.
Betting impact leans toward a cautious approach, with away resilience but questions on finishing longevity.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Events of the Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay match
Phoenix Rising
Phoenix Rising
Monterey Bay
Monterey Bay
17'
Желтая карточка
К. Наддже
Гол
Д. Бадджи (assist: Дж. Моурсоу)
30'
42'
Гол
А. Саиди
Желтая карточка
Д. Флорес
43'
52'
Автогол
Дж. Скеарке
Substitution 1
Д. Флорес (assist: К. Смит)
60'
Substitution 2
Х. Аваиеву (assist: C. Ambursley)
60'
Substitution 3
Г. Студенхоффт (assist: К. Арасе)
60'
61'
Substitution 1
У. Леггетт (assist: Ф. Бараджас)
Желтая карточка
П. Мар Боие
72'
Substitution 4
Д. Бадджи (assist: К. Деннис)
74'
Гол
К. Арасе (assist: Д. Гóмез)
78'
Substitution 5
Л. Биаси (assist: Адриан Пелаио)
79'
80'
Substitution 2
К. Эллиот (assist: Дж. Гаркиа)
Автогол
Р. Накамура
84'
88'
Substitution 3
Н. Росс (assist: Белмар Джосеф)
88'
Substitution 4
К. Наддже (assist: С. Ритчие)
Красная карточка
P. Kah
90+1'
90+3'
Желтая карточка
Белмар Джосеф
The latest face-to-face meetings between Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay

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