Match Prediction: Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye – Super League Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

Shandong Luneng appears the stronger side overall based on home advantage and league position.
Betting lean favors Shandong Luneng with a primary market of 1X2 or home win due to superior home record signals.
Risk includes potential draw or away reaction; Henan Jianye could surprise if they stay compact and exploit counter chances.
Overall, lean toward Shandong Luneng but with caution on draw risk and dynamic match tempo.

Finished July 26, 14:35
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
General
Sport Football
League Super League
Country China
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 26, 14:35
Status Finished
Referee Shuran Gan, China
Stadium Jinan Olympic Sports Center
Comparing commands
Form
Home 50%
Guests 50%
Attack
Home 53%
Guests 47%
Protection
Home 44%
Guests 56%
Goals
Home 60%
Guests 40%
H2H
Home 62%
Guests 38%
Result
Home 55.2%
Guests 44.8%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Shandong Luneng - Henan Jianye April 11, 14:35, Super League 1 : 0
Shandong Luneng - Henan Jianye June 30, 14:00, Super League 2 : 2
Shandong Luneng - Henan Jianye February 23, 10:30, Super League 0 : 0
Shandong Luneng - Henan Jianye August 21, 14:35, FA Cup 3 : 1
Shandong Luneng - Henan Jianye July 28, 15:00, Super League 0 : 1
Shandong Luneng - Henan Jianye April 9, 14:35, Super League 2 : 2
Shandong Luneng - Henan Jianye November 4, 10:30, Super League 5 : 1

Prediction and Historical Statistics

Super League China · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Shandong Luneng (Win or draw)

Home: 45% Draw: 45% Away: 10%

Advice: Double chance : Shandong Luneng or draw

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -2.5 / Away -2.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Shandong Luneng
Shandong Luneng

Form: WWLLWDWLDWWWLDLWLWL

Matches: 19 played (W: 9, D: 3, L: 7)

Goals: 1.8 avg scored / 1.8 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 2

Failed to score: 3

Henan Jianye
Henan Jianye

Form: WWDLLLDLWDLWWWLLLW

Matches: 18 played (W: 7, D: 3, L: 8)

Goals: 1.3 avg scored / 1.3 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 3

Failed to score: 6

Recommended Sportsbook

Analytics

Basic forecast
Shandong Luneng to win or draw (1X) is advised given home edge and form.
Consider the bet: Shandong Luneng win (1) with a smaller stake if odds align near 2.0.
Reasoning: home advantage and discipline could tilt the game in Luneng's favor.
Alternative if seeking value: Draw no bet on Shandong Luneng as cushion against a possible Henan Jianye upset.
Total forecast
Total goals under 2.5 goals is a plausible angle given defensive shapes and pace.
BTTS is less likely if Henan Jianye cannot penetrate Luneng’s setup; monitor early play.
Best total: Under 2.5 goals with a 1X or home win cover depending on odds.
If market signals spur, switch to under 2.0 goals with cautious staking.
Shandong Luneng
Shandong Luneng
Shandong Luneng typically emphasize controlled buildup and width in attack.
Strengths include organized defense and compact midblock performance at home.
Weaknesses may involve reliance on set pieces and occasional slow starts.
Matchup fit suggests Luneng can exploit Henan Jianye’s potential gaps on transitions and space in wide areas.
Henan Jianye
Henan Jianye
Henan Jianye often rely on compact defense and counter opportunities.
Strengths include resilience and pace on the break when pressed high.
Weaknesses include vulnerability to pressure and lower consistency away from home.
Matchup fit may allow them to sit deep and strike on counters, but Luneng’s control could reduce this window.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Lineups for the match
Shandong Luneng
Shandong Luneng
Starting line-up
No18 Wang Guoming Goalkeeper
No4 Yeljan Shinar Defender
No2 Iago Maidana Defender
No23 Lucas Maia Defender
No22 Huang Ruifeng Defender
No6 Wang Shangyuan Midfielder
No21 He Chao Midfielder
No8 Pedro Maranhão Midfielder
No10 Bruno Nazário Midfielder
No7 Zhong Yihao Midfielder
No9 Gustavo Forward
Substitutes
No33 Shi Chenglong Goalkeeper
No16 Yang Kuo Defender
No28 Du Changjie Defender
No11 Nebijan Muhmet Forward
No3 O. Gerbig Defender
No27 Liu Yixin Defender
No29 Zheng Dalun Forward
No5 Liu Jiahui Defender
No13 Abudulam Abdurasul Midfielder
No39 Ekber Osman Midfielder
No30 Fan Xulin Midfielder
No24 Yin Congyao Forward

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Henan Jianye
Henan Jianye
Starting line-up
No1 Yu Jinyong Goalkeeper
No6 Wang Tong Defender
No33 Gao Zhunyi Defender
No5 Zheng Zheng Defender
No11 Liu Yang Defender
No38 Memet Imran Midfielder
No35 Huang Zhengyu Midfielder
No8 Guilherme Madruga Midfielder
No10 V. Qazaishvili Midfielder
No9 Cryzan Forward
No19 Zeca Forward
Substitutes
No32 Sun Qihang Goalkeeper
No2 Yang Ruiqi Defender
No15 Shi Songchen Defender
No29 Chen Pu Forward
No34 Yin Jiaxi Midfielder
No17 R. Merkies Forward
No42 Peng Yixiang Forward
No41 J. Lu Forward

Coach: Peng Han

Events of the Shandong Luneng - Henan Jianye match
Shandong Luneng
Shandong Luneng
Henan Jianye
Henan Jianye
30'
Гол
Бруно Назáрио (assist: Педро Маранхãо)
45'
Гол
Лукас Маиа (assist: Бруно Назáрио)
Substitution 1
Гао Зхунии (assist: Йанг Руики)
46'
Substitution 2
Ванг Тонг (assist: Ши Сонгчен)
46'
Substitution 3
Мемет Имран (assist: Чен Пу)
46'
Гол
Кризан (assist: Ши Сонгчен)
57'
68'
Substitution 1
Йелджан Шинар (assist: Лиу Йиксин)
69'
Желтая карточка
Густаво
73'
Желтая карточка
Зхонг Йихао
Желтая карточка
Гуилхерме Мадруга
73'
76'
Substitution 2
Хе Чао (assist: О. Гербиг)
Желтая карточка
Женг Женг
86'
90+1'
Желтая карточка
Уанг Шангиуан
Substitution 4
Хуанг Зхенгиу (assist: Пенг Ииксианг)
90+3'
90+6'
Substitution 3
Бруно Назáрио (assist: Лиу Джиахуи)
90+6'
Substitution 4
Зхонг Йихао (assist: Абудулам Абдурасул)

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