Match Prediction: São Bernardo vs Ceara – Serie B Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

Balanced call with a slight edge to Ceara based on away experience and sharper non-home fixtures.
The likely stronger side is Ceara in creating chances and maintaining pressure across 90 minutes.
Risk lies in home side adapting tactically and pulling a surprise result.
Betting lean: X2 or Ceara win if you want safer exposure; consider total goals under 2.5 if cautious.

Finished July 26, 22:00
São Bernardo São Bernardo
Ceara Ceara
General
Sport Football
League Serie B
Country Brazil
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 26, 22:00
Status Finished
Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil
Stadium Estádio Primeiro de Maio
Comparing commands
Form
Home 50%
Guests 50%
Attack
Home 83%
Guests 17%
Protection
Home 43%
Guests 57%
Goals
Home 33%
Guests 67%
H2H
Home 20%
Guests 80%
Result
Home 48.5%
Guests 51.5%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
São Bernardo - Ceara March 22, 00:00, Serie B 1 : 1
São Bernardo - Ceara March 18, 01:30, Copa Do Brasil 0 : 0

Prediction and Historical Statistics

Serie B Brazil · 2026
Prediction

Winner: São Bernardo (Win or draw)

Home: 35% Draw: 35% Away: 30%

Advice: Combo Double chance : São Bernardo or draw and -3.5 goals

Under/Over: -3.5

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -1.5 / Away -1.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
São Bernardo
São Bernardo

Form: DLWLWWWWDWDWDLLLDDL

Matches: 19 played (W: 7, D: 6, L: 6)

Goals: 1.3 avg scored / 1.0 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 5

Failed to score: 4

Ceara
Ceara

Form: DDWWDDLLWLLWDLLLDDL

Matches: 19 played (W: 4, D: 7, L: 8)

Goals: 0.8 avg scored / 1.2 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 4

Failed to score: 8

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Analytics

Basic forecast
Main forecast: Ceara to win or draw (D2X) with a lean towards Ceara win.
Reasoning: Ceara has higher-quality efficiency and can exploit São Bernardo on transitions.
Concrete pick: X2 (Ceara win or draw) with a small stake on Ceara to win.
Rationale: Home advantage for São Bernardo is modest, and Ceara’s away form supports a positive result.
Total forecast
Total goals forecast: Under 2.5 goals.
Reasoning: Both teams show tight defenses with low goals per game in recent form.
BTTS: No strong signal given low scoring trend and limited attacking output.
Market pick: Under 2.5 goals for a balanced, lower-risk total.
São Bernardo
São Bernardo
Style: São Bernardo tends to press and play compact defense with mid-block structure.
Strengths: Defensive organization and willingness to press high when possible.
Weaknesses: Limited goal threat and occasional space in transitions.
Matchup fit: Suits a controlled game where they can limit Ceará’s counters and seek chances on set pieces.
Betting impact: If São Bernardo can force a low-scoring game, under 2.5 goals may be viable; otherwise expect Ceara to capitalize on gaps.
Ceara
Ceara
Style: Ceara emphasizes structured build-up and clinical finishing when opportunities arise.
Strengths: Efficient attack when spaces open and good finishing in key moments.
Weaknesses: Susceptibility to counter-attacks when pushed high.
Matchup fit: They may exploit São Bernardo’s defensive shape with quick transitions.
Betting impact: Ceara to win or X2 reflects their ability to avoid defeat while maintaining chances to secure three points.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Lineups for the match
São Bernardo
São Bernardo
Starting line-up
No1 Richard Goalkeeper
No18 Júlio Defender
No3 Thalisson Defender
No33 Éder Defender
No6 Sávio Defender
No31 Bryan Midfielder
No21 Giovanni Pavani Midfielder
No81 Joao Gabriel Midfielder
No20 N. Ferreira Midfielder
No29 Vina Forward
No7 R. López Forward
Substitutes
No35 Giulio Forward
No99 Lucca Forward
No26 Richardson Midfielder
No22 Matheus Nogueira Goalkeeper
No12 Sanchez Defender
No60 Enzo Forward
No71 Gabriel Rocha Midfielder
No88 Caio Midfielder
No40 Melk Midfielder
No8 Matheus Araújo Midfielder
No10 Juan Alano Forward
No11 L. Mugni Midfielder

Coach: Paulista Daniel

Ceara
Ceara
Starting line-up
No1 Alex Alves Goalkeeper
No2 Rodrigo Ferreira Defender
No3 Hélder Defender
No35 Jemerson Defender
No33 Mário Sérgio Defender
No14 Lucas Lima Midfielder
No8 Foguinho Midfielder
No26 Eduardo Midfielder
No7 Lucas Forward
No9 Felipe Garcia Forward
No37 D. Davi Forward
Substitutes
No21 Hugo Sanches Defender
No27 Echaporã Forward
No42 Hyoran Midfielder
No29 Pedrinho Forward
No12 Júnior Oliveira Goalkeeper
No6 Pará Defender
No90 Luizão Defender
No97 Augusto Defender
No77 Marcão Midfielder
No10 Fabrício Daniel Forward
No70 Lucas Reis Forward
No89 Daniel Amorim Forward

Coach: Catala Ricardo

Events of the São Bernardo - Ceara match
São Bernardo
São Bernardo
Ceara
Ceara
Гол
Хéлдер (assist: Мáрио Сéргио)
23'
31'
Желтая карточка
Джúлио
46'
Substitution 1
Талиссон (assist: Гиулио)
46'
Substitution 2
Р. Лóпез (assist: Лукка)
Substitution 1
Лукас (assist: Хуго Санчес)
46'
Substitution 2
Д. Дави (assist: Эчапорã)
46'
47'
Гол
Н. Ферреира (assist: Гиулио)
55'
Желтая карточка
Éдер
Substitution 3
Родриго Ферреира (assist: Педринхо)
56'
Substitution 4
Фогуинхо (assist: Хиоран)
56'
Гол
Хуго Санчес
59'
62'
Гол
Вина (assist: Н. Ферреира)
66'
Substitution 3
Гиованни Павани (assist: Ричардсон)
Желтая карточка
Фелипе Гаркиа
68'
74'
Гол
Йоао Габриел (assist: Гиулио)
Гол
Педринхо (assist: Мáрио Сéргио)
81'
Substitution 5
Лукас Лима (assist: Маркãо)
84'
85'
Substitution 4
Вина (assist: Мелк)
89'
Substitution 5
Н. Ферреира (assist: Ензо)
90+1'
Гол
Ензо
Красная карточка
Лукас
90+12'
The latest face-to-face meetings between São Bernardo - Ceara

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