Match Prediction: Criciuma vs Nautico Recife – Serie B Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

Criciuma appear slightly stronger based on home form and league context.
The match angle leans toward Criciuma as the favored side at home.
There is a moderate risk due to limited H2H data and variability in football.
Betting lean: consider home win or draw-no-bet with cautious stake.

Finished July 26, 22:00
Criciuma Criciuma
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
General
Sport Football
League Serie B
Country Brazil
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 26, 22:00
Status Finished
Referee Yuri Elino Ferreira Da Cruz, Brazil
Stadium Estádio Heriberto Hülse
Comparing commands
Form
Home 79%
Guests 21%
Attack
Home 70%
Guests 30%
Protection
Home 86%
Guests 14%
Goals
Home 67%
Guests 33%
H2H
Home 85%
Guests 15%
Result
Home 76.5%
Guests 23.5%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Criciuma - Nautico Recife March 22, 22:00, Serie B 1 : 0
Criciuma - Nautico Recife October 8, 01:00, Serie B 2 : 1
Criciuma - Nautico Recife June 30, 01:00, Serie B 1 : 1
Criciuma - Nautico Recife November 15, 00:15, Serie B 0 : 0
Criciuma - Nautico Recife July 30, 01:00, Serie B 2 : 1
Criciuma - Nautico Recife August 20, 22:00, Serie B 1 : 0
Criciuma - Nautico Recife May 14, 22:30, Serie B 1 : 0

Prediction and Historical Statistics

Serie B Brazil · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Criciuma (Win or draw)

Home: 50% Draw: 50% Away: 0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Criciuma or draw and -3.5 goals

Under/Over: -3.5

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -2.5 / Away -1.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Criciuma
Criciuma

Form: WDLWLWDDDDWWDWWWWWW

Matches: 19 played (W: 11, D: 6, L: 2)

Goals: 1.2 avg scored / 0.6 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 9

Failed to score: 2

Nautico Recife
Nautico Recife

Form: LWWLLWDWWWLLDLLDLLW

Matches: 19 played (W: 7, D: 3, L: 9)

Goals: 1.3 avg scored / 1.3 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 5

Failed to score: 8

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Analytics

Basic forecast
Prediction: Criciuma to win the match.
Reasoning: Home form is excellent with 6 wins and only 0 losses across 7 games.
Reasoning: Nautico Recife have conceded more on the road and show weaker recent form.
Pick: Criciuma to win with a small stake on 1X as a cushion.
Total forecast
Over/Under: bet on Under 2.5 goals.
Reasoning: Criciuma’s defense is strong at home and Nautico Recife struggles to score in away matches.
Reasoning: The matchup tends to be tighter with limited goals historically.
Pick: Under 2.5 goals for a measured bet.
Criciuma
Criciuma
Style: compact defense with quick counters and solid home discipline.
Strengths: strong home record and low concession rate at home.
Weaknesses: reliance on counterattacks may reduce goal volume.
Matchup fit: suits a cautious game plan against an opponent with slim scoring over performance.
Betting impact: supports a mid-level stake on Criciuma win or 1X with a stronger defense angle.
Nautico Recife
Nautico Recife
Style: pragmatic, sometimes conservative, but with vulnerability on away days.
Strengths: potential to absorb pressure and hit on counter opportunities.
Weaknesses: lower scoring efficiency away from home and higher concession rate.
Matchup fit: may struggle to break down a well-organized Criciuma defense.
Betting impact: suggests limited upside for away win bets and supports under/low-scoring expectations when facing Criciuma

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Lineups for the match
Criciuma
Criciuma
Starting line-up
No1 Muriel Goalkeeper
No2 Arnaldo Defender
No15 Léo Índio Defender
No46 Gustavo Henrique Defender
No14 Matheus Ribeiro Defender
No41 Samuel Midfielder
No8 Wenderson Midfielder
No27 Luiz Felipe Midfielder
No20 Jean Carlos Midfielder
No72 Derek Midfielder
No19 Kaua Almeida da Costa Forward
Substitutes
No24 B. Borasi Midfielder
No3 Alberto Defender
No34 Wanderson Defender
No55 G. Guruceaga Goalkeeper
No93 Reginaldo Lopes Defender
No37 Rikelme Defender
No11 Victor Andrade Forward
No5 Auremir Midfielder
No16 Luiz Cláudio Forward

Coach: Anjos Helio dos

Nautico Recife
Nautico Recife
Starting line-up
No70 Pedro Goalkeeper
No37 César Martins Defender
No3 Rodrigo Defender
No4 Luciano Castán Defender
No97 Willean Lepo Midfielder
No5 Eduardo Midfielder
No8 Guilherme Lobo Midfielder
No22 Marcelo Hermes Midfielder
No91 R. Otero Forward
No13 Waguininho Forward
No7 Fellipe Mateus Forward
Substitutes
No9 Nicolas Forward
No1 Alisson Goalkeeper
No34 Bruno Alves Defender
No11 Romarinho Forward
No31 Hiago Accinelli da Roza Midfielder
No50 Thiaguinho Midfielder
No14 Ronald Midfielder
No41 Jean Irmer Midfielder
No10 Jhonata Robert Forward
No21 João Carlos Forward
No88 Cauê Forward
No77 Diego Gonçalves Forward

Coach: Eduardo Alexandre Baptista

Events of the Criciuma - Nautico Recife match
Criciuma
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Nautico Recife
20'
Substitution 1
Луиз Фелипе (assist: Б. Бораси)
30'
Желтая карточка
Густаво Хенрикуе
40'
Желтая карточка
Матеус Рибеиро
45+1'
Substitution 2
Матеус Рибеиро (assist: Алберто)
46'
Substitution 3
Густаво Хенрикуе (assist: Уандерсон)
48'
Желтая карточка
Алберто
Substitution 1
Эдуардо (assist: Николас)
59'
Substitution 2
Уагуининхо (assist: Джхоната Роберт)
67'
Substitution 3
Р. Отеро (assist: Диего Гонçалвес)
68'
68'
Substitution 4
Самуел (assist: Ауремир)
68'
Substitution 5
Дерек (assist: Региналдо Лопес)
Substitution 4
Гуилхерме Лобо (assist: Роналд)
82'
Substitution 5
Лукиано Кастáн (assist: Хиаго Аккинелли да Роза)
82'
90'
Желтая карточка
Уендерсон
The latest face-to-face meetings between Criciuma - Nautico Recife
Date League The hosts Account Guests Status
March 22, 22:00 Serie B Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 0 - 1 Criciuma Criciuma Completed

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