Match Prediction: Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud – Primera División Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

The match is potentially balanced between teams with similar league archetypes.
Expect Deportivo Maldonado to press more with home context and draw on setup advantages.
Juventud could exploit transitions and set-pieces if Maldonado overcommits forward.
Betting lean favors a draw or a narrow home win, but risk remains high; use market hedges if available.

Finished August 1, 21:00
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud Juventud
General
Sport Football
League Primera División
Country Uruguay
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time August 1, 21:00
Status Finished
Referee Andres Matonte, Uruguay
Stadium Unknown venue
Comparing commands
Form
Home 67%
Guests 33%
Attack
Home 60%
Guests 40%
Protection
Home 69%
Guests 31%
Goals
Home 30%
Guests 70%
H2H
Home 29%
Guests 71%
Result
Home 54.8%
Guests 45.2%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud March 3, 02:00, Primera División - Apertura 2 : 1
Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud July 28, 21:00, Segunda División 0 : 1
Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud March 3, 22:00, Segunda División 0 : 2
Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud February 25, 22:30, Segunda División 0 : 0
Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud October 1, 21:30, Segunda División 1 : 3

Prediction and Historical Statistics

Primera División - Apertura Uruguay · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Deportivo Maldonado (Win or draw)

Home: 45% Draw: 45% Away: 10%

Advice: Double chance : Deportivo Maldonado or draw

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -3.5 / Away -2.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado

Form: WWLWDWLWLWWDLWWWDWWDL

Matches: 21 played (W: 12, D: 4, L: 5)

Goals: 1.7 avg scored / 1.0 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 7

Failed to score: 2

Juventud
Juventud

Form: LDLLWLLLLLWDDWWWLLDLW

Matches: 21 played (W: 6, D: 4, L: 11)

Goals: 1.2 avg scored / 1.6 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 3

Failed to score: 4

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Analytics

Basic forecast
D1X draw is the most sensible pick given the limited H2H data and balanced profiles.
Take under 2.5 goals as a secondary angle due to tactical caution and pace on counters.
Primary market: D1X (draw or home win) at moderate odds.
Reasoning: both sides show structured defenses and practical forward lines, reducing high-scoring outcomes.
Total forecast
Under 2.5 goals is favored given the defensive tendencies and careful pace of this fixture.
BTTS should be considered only if both teams show clear chances; current context supports a low-chance BTTS.
A single concrete total: Under 2.5 goals.
Rationale: balanced approach and league dynamics typically produce tighter matches in Apertura.
Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado typically rely on home pressure and mid-block defense.
Their strength lies in compact organization and counter opportunities when spaces appear.
Weaknesses include vulnerability to quick wingers and moments of lost focus in transitions.
Matchup fit suggests Maldonado can control tempo at home and create scoring chances with set-pieces.
Juventud
Juventud
Juventud tends to be organized with focus on discipline and counterattacks.
Strengths include compact defensive structure and efficient use of fast forwards in transitions.
Weaknesses involve potential over-reliance on breaks and susceptibility to high-press when outnumbered.
Matchup fit indicates Juventud can neutralize some of Maldonado's build-up and exploit gaps on counters.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Lineups for the match
Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado
Starting line-up
No1 S. Sosa Goalkeeper
No24 F. Barrandeguy Defender
No2 P. Pernicone Defender
No4 M. Cáceres Defender
No8 K. Rolón Midfielder
No14 L. Roldán Midfielder
No19 R. Cecchini Midfielder
No37 R. Peralta Midfielder
No26 G. Pereiro Forward
No7 A. Alaniz Forward
No80 F. Mimbacas Forward
Substitutes
No11 P. Lago Midfielder
No10 B. Larregui Forward
No12 F. Correa Goalkeeper
No28 F. Risso Defender
No23 E. Más Defender
No30 Gonzalo Gomez Midfielder
No22 R. Chagas Midfielder
No27 J. Boselli Midfielder
No20 B. Arady Midfielder

Coach: Ruben Blanco Soto Sergio

Juventud
Juventud
Starting line-up
No1 A. Freitas Goalkeeper
No4 Juan Martín Ginzo Defender
No33 N. Fuica Defender
No19 F. Tealde Defender
No20 S. Tormo Defender
No28 S. Cartagena Midfielder
No8 M. González Midfielder
No17 Santiago Ramírez Midfielder
No10 M. Noble Midfielder
No14 C. Tabó Forward
No7 G. Larrazábal Midfielder
Substitutes
No22 J. Ramos Defender
No11 G. López Midfielder
No12 Felipe Ortiz Goalkeeper
No32 H. Petryk Defender
No42 J. Fernández Defender
No3 H. Menosse Defender
No5 L. Núñez Midfielder
No23 A. Vila Midfielder
No29 E. Mozzone Forward
No30 L. Ibanez Forward

Coach: Joaquin Boghossian

Events of the Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud match
Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Juventud
19'
Желтая карточка
Р. Кекчини
43'
Substitution 1
Р. Кекчини (assist: Факундо Нахуел Пéрез Бертинат)
Желтая карточка
Ф. Теалде
47'
Желтая карточка
М. Гонзáлез
52'
Желтая карточка
К. Табó
54'
Substitution 1
С. Тормо (assist: Дж. Рамос)
66'
Substitution 2
А. М. Нобле Секуеира (assist: Г. Лóпез)
66'
68'
Substitution 2
Ф. Мимбакас (assist: Б. Ларрегуи)
68'
Substitution 3
А. Аланиз (assist: П. Лаго)
Желтая карточка
С. Картагена
77'
80'
Substitution 4
Г. Переиро (assist: Гонзало Гомез)
Substitution 3
Г. Лóпез (assist: Э. Моззоне)
82'
Substitution 4
М. Гонзáлез (assist: Л. Нúñез)
82'
Substitution 5
С. Картагена (assist: А. Вила)
82'
84'
Желтая карточка
Факундо Нахуел Пéрез Бертинат

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