Match Prediction: Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro – Primera División Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

Balanced but leaning slightly to Liverpool Montevideo as the better overall form and home advantage.
Risk is marginal given Cerro’s potential to surprise on counters.
Betting lean: Home win or draw no bet with slight preference for Liverpool Montevideo.
Avoid heavy risk bets until clearer lineups emerge, as both teams can concede under pressure.

Finished July 12, 18:00
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Cerro
General
Sport Football
League Primera División
Country Uruguay
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 12, 18:00
Status Finished
Referee A. Olmos
Stadium Estadio Belvedere
Comparing commands
Form
Home 63%
Guests 38%
Attack
Home 50%
Guests 50%
Protection
Home 79%
Guests 21%
Goals
Home 58%
Guests 42%
H2H
Home 62%
Guests 38%
Result
Home 65.8%
Guests 34.3%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro February 21, 00:45, Primera División - Apertura 1 : 1
Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro August 24, 21:30, Primera División - Clausura 1 : 2
Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro May 25, 21:00, Primera División - Apertura 0 : 0
Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro February 22, 15:45, Primera División - Apertura 2 : 1
Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro November 30, 15:45, Primera División - Clausura 3 : 1
Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro July 21, 16:00, Primera División - Apertura 0 : 1
Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro June 3, 18:30, Primera División - Apertura 0 : 3

Prediction and Historical Statistics

Primera División - Apertura Uruguay · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Liverpool Montevideo (Win or draw)

Home: 45% Draw: 45% Away: 10%

Advice: Double chance : Liverpool Montevideo or draw

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -2.5 / Away -1.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo

Form: WLDWWDLDDLWLDWLLDWD

Matches: 19 played (W: 6, D: 7, L: 6)

Goals: 1.2 avg scored / 1.1 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 8

Failed to score: 6

Cerro
Cerro

Form: LLDDLLLWLWDDLLLLWLL

Matches: 19 played (W: 3, D: 4, L: 12)

Goals: 0.5 avg scored / 1.6 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 3

Failed to score: 9

Recommended Sportsbook

Analytics

Basic forecast
Liverpool Montevideo to win 1X2 with a market pick: 1.
Reason: home form and venue support Liverpool Montevideo's chances.
Secondary reasoning: Cerro may defend and attempt counters, creating a tight game.
Betting note: consider market 1X if odds are close to 1.80 or higher.
Total forecast
Total goals under 2.5 goals as a primary angle.
Reason: both teams show cautious approach amid a competitive but balanced matchup.
Alternative: BTTS No could be viable if Cerro focuses on defense.
Keep an eye on early tempo; if both sides go defensive, under 2.5 becomes stronger.
Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Style: possession-oriented build-up with wide play.
Strengths: solid home pressure and clinical finishing in key moments.
Weaknesses: vulnerability to quick counters on the flanks.
Matchup fit: suits a measured approach against Cerro’s compact defense, supporting a lower-scoring win.
Betting impact: favors backing a controlled home win with potential for 1X2 or under/over 2.5 depending on live tempo.
Cerro
Cerro
Style: compact defensive shape with opportunistic counter ventures.
Strengths: disciplined organization and effective set-pieces.
Weaknesses: susceptibility to crosses and sustained pressure from the home team.
Matchup fit: can exploit transitions but may concede to sustained attacks.
Betting impact: cautious approach; consider under 2.5 or 1X2 with Cerro drawing or stealing a point if early defense holds.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Events of the Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro match
Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Cerro
Желтая карточка
С. Лакуидаíн
20'
20'
Желтая карточка
Б. Алемáн
21'
Гол
А. Миранда
Желтая карточка
Лукас Акоста Морено
38'
Гол
Р. Бентанкоурт
45'
55'
Желтая карточка
Й. Ирразáбал
Substitution 1
Р. Дегрегорио (assist: Т. Бризуела)
65'
65'
Substitution 1
А. Миранда (assist: Б. Моралес)
72'
Желтая карточка
Д. Суáрез
74'
Substitution 2
М. Окампо (assist: П. Нонгои)
74'
Substitution 3
К. Баррос (assist: А. Северо)
Substitution 2
Р. Бентанкоурт (assist: Д. Забала)
77'
Substitution 3
Н. Гараиалде (assist: Р. Мачадо)
77'
83'
Substitution 4
Г. Родригуез (assist: Ф. Бреганте)
84'
Substitution 5
Б. Алемáн (assist: Дж. Амаро)
Substitution 4
Д. Ромеро (assist: Ф. Баркелó)
87'
Желтая карточка
Т. Бризуела
90+2'
90+3'
Гол
Дж. Амаро

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