Match Prediction: Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico – Primera División Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

Alianza Lima are likely the stronger side given home advantage and historical superiority at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Expect balanced pressure from Alianza Atletico, keeping the match competitive but not dominant.
Market risk exists due to data gaps on recent results and injuries, so avoid overconfident bets.
Betting lean: pick Home win or Draw (1X) with a slight tilt toward home due to venue and typicalBL impact.

Finished August 2, 04:30
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
General
Sport Football
League Primera División
Country Peru
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time August 2, 04:30
Status Finished
Referee Michael Espinoza, Peru
Stadium Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Comparing commands
Form
Home 61%
Guests 39%
Attack
Home 53%
Guests 47%
Protection
Home 69%
Guests 31%
Goals
Home 45%
Guests 55%
H2H
Home 38%
Guests 62%
Result
Home 58.2%
Guests 41.8%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico June 28, 21:00, Copa De La Liga 1 : 2
Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico February 15, 04:00, Primera División 0 : 0
Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico July 28, 02:00, Primera División 1 : 1
Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico February 15, 23:30, Primera División 1 : 3
Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico July 21, 03:00, Primera División 2 : 0
Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico February 4, 22:00, Primera División 2 : 0
Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico August 27, 04:30, Primera División 1 : 0

Prediction and Historical Statistics

Primera División Peru · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Alianza Lima (Win or draw)

Home: 45% Draw: 45% Away: 10%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza Lima or draw

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -3.5 / Away -2.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima

Form: WWDWWWDWLWWWWDWWDWD

Matches: 19 played (W: 13, D: 5, L: 1)

Goals: 1.8 avg scored / 0.6 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 9

Failed to score: 2

Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico

Form: WLDDDLWDDLLWWLWDLLW

Matches: 19 played (W: 6, D: 6, L: 7)

Goals: 1.3 avg scored / 1.2 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 5

Failed to score: 5

Recommended Sportsbook

Analytics

Basic forecast
Recommendation: bet 1X on Alianza Lima to avoid loss.
Reason: home advantage at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva supports a favorable result.
If you prefer a stricter market, consider Under/Over 2.5 goals based on typical tight defenses in this league.
Rationale: balanced contest is likely with a cautious approach and potential for a narrow scoreline.
Total forecast
BTTS No is plausible given limited data; risk leans toward a clean sheet possibility for either side.
Alternate total: Under 2.5 goals is a safer mainstream line with uncertain scoring.
Expected match tempo: moderate with measured attacks from both sides.
Final call: 1X and Under 2.5 goals as a combined shielded bet.
Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima rely on disciplined defense and home control to dictate tempo.
Strengths include organized buildup and pressure when transitioning from midfield.
Weaknesses could be vulnerability to quick counters if high pressing is applied by opponents.
Betting impact: home efficiency supports covering the 1X line and under 2.5 goals.
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico may focus on resilience and compact lines to absorb pressure.
Strengths include compact defense and counter-attacking spark when space opens.
Weaknesses involve potential fatigue when facing consistent home pressure.
Betting impact: away performance under pressure may lead to clean sheets against their counter chances, affecting Over/Under lines.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Lineups for the match
Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
Starting line-up
No31 S. Rivadeneyra Goalkeeper
No21 E. Perleche Defender
No2 R. Suarez Defender
No25 W. Guzmán Defender
No24 A. Gordillo Defender
No15 H. Lupú Midfielder
No10 Germán Díaz Midfielder
No11 G. Larios Midfielder
No22 J. del Castillo Midfielder
No17 C. Penilla Midfielder
No27 J. Ingratti Forward
Substitutes
No95 D. Prieto Goalkeeper
No19 J. Mendieta Defender
No6 J. Luján Defender
No23 A. Muñoz Midfielder
No20 Jimmy Pérez Midfielder
No16 S. Fernández Midfielder
No8 F. Flores Midfielder
No77 C. Valladolid Forward
No29 J. Molina Forward

Coach: Federico Urciuoli

Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico
Starting line-up
No1 A. Duarte Goalkeeper
No17 L. Advíncula Defender
No6 R. Garcés Defender
No3 M. Antoni Defender
No13 M. Huamán Defender
No5 E. Pavez Midfielder
No7 F. Gaibor Midfielder
No20 J. Vélez Midfielder
No99 F. Girotti Midfielder
No8 E. Castillo Forward
No34 P. Guerrero Forward
Substitutes
No12 A. De la Cruz Goalkeeper
No4 G. Chávez Defender
No2 N. Díaz Defender
No29 J. Archimbaud Midfielder
No22 C. Neira Midfielder
No15 J. Castillo Midfielder
No30 G. Motta Forward
No25 G. Gentile Forward
No11 A. Cantero Forward

Coach: Pablo Guede

Events of the Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico match
Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico
Гол
Э. Кастилло (assist: Дж. Вéлез)
14'
28'
Гол
Дж. Ингратти
Желтая карточка
П. Гуерреро
32'
40'
Желтая карточка
Г. Лариос
Желтая карточка
Р. Гаркéс
45'
Автогол
У. Гузмáн
51'
57'
Красная карточка
У. Гузмáн
66'
Substitution 1
Дж. дел Кастилло (assist: А. Муñоз)
Substitution 1
П. Гуерреро (assist: А. Кантеро)
70'
73'
Substitution 2
Г. Лариос (assist: Дж. Молина)
Гол
Дж. Вéлез (assist: А. Кантеро)
79'
80'
Желтая карточка
А. Муñоз
83'
Substitution 3
К. Пенилла (assist: Ф. Флорес)
83'
Substitution 4
Дж. Ингратти (assist: Джимми Пéрез)
83'
Substitution 5
Гермáн Дíаз (assist: Дж. Луджáн)
Substitution 2
Э. Кастилло (assist: Дж. Арчимбауд)
84'
Substitution 3
Ф. Гаибор (assist: Дж. Кастилло)
90+1'
Substitution 4
Р. Гаркéс (assist: Н. Дíаз)
90+1'
The latest face-to-face meetings between Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico

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