Match Prediction: Sport Boys vs ADT – Primera División Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

The match appears balanced with no clear past head-to-head advantage.
Sport Boys may hold a marginal edge due to home-field familiarity at Estadio Miguel Grau.
ADT could counter with defensive discipline and structured play, making it a tighter battle than odds imply.
Betting lean: consider X2 or a cautious home win with near equal likelihood, acknowledging some risk.

Finished July 25, 18:30
Sport Boys Sport Boys
ADT ADT
General
Sport Football
League Primera División
Country Peru
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 25, 18:30
Status Finished
Referee Kevin Ortega, Peru
Stadium Estadio Miguel Grau
Comparing commands
Form
Home 67%
Guests 33%
Attack
Home 22%
Guests 78%
Protection
Home 89%
Guests 11%
Goals
Home 50%
Guests 50%
H2H
Home 50%
Guests 50%
Result
Home 56.7%
Guests 43.3%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Sport Boys - ADT February 7, 21:00, Primera División 0 : 1
Sport Boys - ADT August 4, 23:00, Primera División 1 : 0
Sport Boys - ADT February 27, 23:30, Primera División 2 : 2
Sport Boys - ADT November 1, 23:00, Primera División 0 : 1
Sport Boys - ADT May 26, 23:00, Primera División 1 : 0
Sport Boys - ADT August 12, 21:00, Primera División 1 : 1
Sport Boys - ADT March 10, 23:30, Primera División 0 : 1

Prediction and Historical Statistics

Primera División Peru · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Sport Boys (Win or draw)

Home: 45% Draw: 45% Away: 10%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sport Boys or draw and -3.5 goals

Under/Over: -3.5

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -1.5 / Away -1.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Sport Boys
Sport Boys

Form: DLWLDLLWLLWDLDWDWL

Matches: 18 played (W: 5, D: 5, L: 8)

Goals: 0.8 avg scored / 1.1 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 8

Failed to score: 7

ADT
ADT

Form: LWLDDLWDLLDWWDWLLL

Matches: 18 played (W: 5, D: 5, L: 8)

Goals: 1.3 avg scored / 1.3 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 6

Failed to score: 4

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Analytics

Basic forecast
Duel likely ends in a draw or narrow home win.
Bet 1X (home or draw) as the primary market given parity and home context.
Reason: Estadio Miguel Grau can provide a marginal home boost, but ADT may steal a point with disciplined defense.
Alternative: under 2.5 goals to reflect a tight matchup with limited clear-cut chances.
Total forecast
Total goals expected: under 2.5 goals.
BTTS: No clear signal; avoid BTTS as the primary pick.
Justification: both sides show compact defensive tendencies in similar fixtures, reducing high-scoring chances.
Unofficial edge: a late goal could tilt to 1-0 or 1-1 results.
Sport Boys
Sport Boys
Sport Boys often relies on home comfort and compact pressing to control games.
Strengths include disciplined defense and counter-attacking threat when settled.
Weaknesses may arise from limited creative depth in open play and reliance on set-pieces.
Matchup fit: facing a balanced ADT, the home side should seek control and small-margin chances, impacting betting on 1X.
Betting impact: home form supports a conservative bet on a draws or small-margin win, but avoid overcommitment to goals.
ADT
ADT
ADT projects a structured, defensively solid approach with careful build-up.
Strengths include organized backline and patient transition play.
Weaknesses could be stiffness in attack against a compact home defense.
Matchup fit: against a home team, ADT will aim to absorb pressure and strike on counter opportunities, influencing under-2.5 and draw bets.
Betting impact: prefer under-2.5 and X2 considerations if ADT can pinch a result away from home.

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Match Stats / H2H / Form

Lineups for the match
Sport Boys
Sport Boys
Starting line-up
No30 J. Valencia Goalkeeper
No6 Á. Ojeda Defender
No44 H. Benincasa Defender
No16 L. Pérez Midfielder
No15 J. Alvino Midfielder
No80 J. Canela Midfielder
No10 V. Cedrón Midfielder
No7 J. Rojas Midfielder
No32 J. Bauman Forward
Substitutes
No31 J. Navarro Defender
No24 S. Peralta Midfielder
No22 A. Rodríguez Forward
No33 C. Solís Goalkeeper

Coach: Francisco Usúcar

ADT
ADT
Starting line-up
No22 D. Melián Goalkeeper
No3 C. Zambrano Defender
No26 H. Riojas Defender
No13 M. Llontop Defender
No8 H. Da Campo Midfielder
No11 L. Urruti Midfielder
No24 O. Mora Midfielder
No7 C. López Midfielder
No32 P. Erustes Forward
No9 L. Nequecaur Forward
Substitutes
No61 J. Nolasco Goalkeeper
No77 Y. Celi Midfielder
No4 R. Alfani Defender
No10 J. Alarcón Midfielder
No55 G. Dulanto Defender
No28 E. Gonzáles Midfielder
No23 J. Gonzáles Midfielder
No5 F. Illanes Midfielder
No30 P. Liza Forward

Coach: Carlos Desio

Events of the Sport Boys - ADT match
Sport Boys
Sport Boys
ADT
ADT
30'
Желтая карточка
О. Нúñез
Желтая карточка
Л. Уррути
42'
45'
Желтая карточка
Л. Пéрез
Желтая карточка
Э. Саба
53'
Substitution 1
К. Лóпез (assist: Й. Кели)
60'
Substitution 2
Э. Саба (assist: Э. Гонзáлес)
60'
Красная карточка
Э. Гонзáлес
68'
70'
Substitution 1
В. Кедрóн (assist: Г. Вас)
70'
Substitution 2
Á. Оджеда (assist: Дж. Переира)
Пенальти
Х. Риоджас
76'
Substitution 3
П. Эрустес (assist: П. Лиза)
77'
Substitution 4
Л. Уррути (assist: Ф. Илланес)
77'
Желтая карточка
Л. Некуекаур
79'
80'
Substitution 3
Л. Ругел (assist: А. Родрíгуез)
80'
Substitution 4
Й. Алвино (assist: С. Пералта)
Желтая карточка
Ф. Илланес
83'
Substitution 5
Л. Некуекаур (assist: Г. Дуланто)
87'
Пенальти
Й. Кели
90+4'
The latest face-to-face meetings between Sport Boys - ADT

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