Match Prediction: Argentino de Merlo vs Argentino Quilmes – Primera B Metropolitana Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

Balanced match with no strong head-to-head advantage evident from available data.
Argentino de Merlo benefit from home advantage and a higher scoring rate in recent games.
Quilmes may struggle to breach a solid defensive setup, increasing risk for under performance.
Betting lean: handicap or 1X with a slight home-edge bias, avoiding high-risk outright bets.

Finished July 10, 21:00
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
General
Sport Football
League Primera B Metropolitana
Country Argentina
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 10, 21:00
Status Finished
Referee -
Stadium Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva
Comparing commands
Form
Home 53%
Guests 47%
Attack
Home 56%
Guests 44%
Protection
Home 54%
Guests 46%
Goals
Home 40%
Guests 60%
H2H
Home 40%
Guests 60%
Result
Home 48.8%
Guests 51.2%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Argentino de Merlo - Argentino Quilmes February 27, 23:00, Primera B Metropolitana 1 : 0
Argentino de Merlo - Argentino Quilmes November 4, 21:30, Primera B Metropolitana 0 : 1
Argentino de Merlo - Argentino Quilmes June 7, 21:30, Primera B Metropolitana 2 : 1
Argentino de Merlo - Argentino Quilmes November 17, 23:00, Primera B Metropolitana 1 : 3
Argentino de Merlo - Argentino Quilmes November 10, 21:00, Primera B Metropolitana 0 : 1
Argentino de Merlo - Argentino Quilmes August 24, 21:00, Primera B Metropolitana 0 : 2
Argentino de Merlo - Argentino Quilmes April 8, 21:30, Primera B Metropolitana 0 : 1

Prediction and Historical Statistics

Primera B Metropolitana Argentina · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Argentino Quilmes (Win or draw)

Home: 10% Draw: 45% Away: 45%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Argentino Quilmes

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -2.5 / Away -2.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Argentino de Merlo
Argentino de Merlo

Form: LWWWDWLWLDLLDLDLLWDDWWD

Matches: 23 played (W: 8, D: 7, L: 8)

Goals: 0.9 avg scored / 0.9 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 8

Failed to score: 11

Argentino Quilmes
Argentino Quilmes

Form: DLLWDDLLDWLDLLDWDWWDWDL

Matches: 23 played (W: 6, D: 9, L: 8)

Goals: 1.0 avg scored / 1.1 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 7

Failed to score: 7

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Analytics

Basic forecast
Pick: Home win or Draw (1X) for Argentino de Merlo.
Reason: Home form shows scoring ability and a favorable venue, while Quilmes has limited recent away success.
Market angle: 1X at moderate odds offers a balanced risk with upside.
Support: Merlo averages 2.0 goals per game at home; Quilmes has conceded 1.7 per away game this form block.
Total forecast
Over/Under focus: Under 2.5 goals.
Reason: Both teams exhibit cautious play and modest goal output in recent form.
BTTS: No clear indication this match will feature both teams scoring; preference to under 2.5.
Concrete total: Under 2.5 goals with a lean to a 1-1 or 0-1 result.
Argentino de Merlo
Argentino de Merlo
Style: compact defense with quick transitions and home pressure.
Strengths: solid home goal threat and compact midfield that controls tempo.
Weaknesses: occasional defensive lapses against faster counters.
Matchup fit: Quilmes away form is limited, increasing Merlo’s home advantage in attack.
Betting impact: supports bets on home win and under 2.5 goals.
Argentino Quilmes
Argentino Quilmes
Style: patient buildup with disciplined defense and rare counter chances.
Strengths: strong organizational structure and low goals conceded in recent games.
Weaknesses: limited scoring pace may hinder away results against organized teams.
Matchup fit: Merlo’s home pressure could test Quilmes’ defensive line.
Betting impact: supports cautious bets on 1X or under 2.5, with possible value in draw-no-bet scenarios.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Events of the Argentino de Merlo - Argentino Quilmes match
Argentino de Merlo
Argentino de Merlo
Argentino Quilmes
Argentino Quilmes
10'
Желтая карточка
Ф. Коскиук
Гол
А. Салвадор
18'
Желтая карточка
К. Медина
39'
44'
Желтая карточка
Л. Эскудеро
46'
Substitution 1
Л. Эскудеро (assist: Н. Сáнчез)
Substitution 1
К. Медина (assist: Л. Ромеро)
46'
50'
Желтая карточка
М. Гомез
Желтая карточка
Г. Скиски
52'
54'
Желтая карточка
Н. Сáнчез
61'
Substitution 2
Л. Гузмáн (assist: Даиро Пена)
Substitution 2
Ф. Малдонадо (assist: Т. Джерез)
63'
Желтая карточка
Е. И. Кохен
63'
Желтая карточка
В. Лопез
64'
69'
Substitution 3
Дж. Кругер (assist: Е. А. Дез)
69'
Substitution 4
Л. Филоса (assist: Ф. Филлиол)
75'
Substitution 5
Э. Торанкио (assist: М. Компагнукки)
Substitution 3
Г. Скиски (assist: К. Маркиал)
77'
Гол
К. Маркиал
81'
84'
Желтая карточка
Н. Сáнчез
84'
Красная карточка
Н. Сáнчез
Гол
Т. Джерез
87'
Substitution 4
Дж. Ортíз (assist: Б. Костелла)
88'
Substitution 5
А. Салвадор (assist: Т. Канделареси)
88'
90'
Желтая карточка
М. Компагнукки

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