Match Prediction: Deportivo Pasto vs Águilas Doradas – Primera A Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

The likely stronger side is Deportivo Pasto given home advantage and implied market support (D1X and home win bets reflect this).
The match appears balanced with potential for a draw if Águilas Doradas defend well and counter effectively.
Risk leans toward a small edge for Pasto but with decent exposure to draw outcomes.
Betting lean: Pasto win or double chance (1X) with cautious stake, considering market prices.

Finished August 1, 22:00
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas
General
Sport Football
League Primera A
Country Colombia
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time August 1, 22:00
Status Finished
Referee Carlos Ortega, Colombia
Stadium Estadio Departamental Libertad
Comparing commands
Form
Home 0%
Guests 100%
Attack
Home 50%
Guests 50%
Protection
Home 43%
Guests 57%
Goals
Home 69%
Guests 31%
H2H
Home 93%
Guests 7%
Result
Home 61.8%
Guests 38.2%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Deportivo Pasto - Águilas Doradas January 26, 00:00, Primera A 2 : 1
Deportivo Pasto - Águilas Doradas October 13, 04:30, Primera A 2 : 2
Deportivo Pasto - Águilas Doradas April 22, 04:10, Primera A 1 : 0
Deportivo Pasto - Águilas Doradas October 30, 02:05, Primera A 3 : 1
Deportivo Pasto - Águilas Doradas April 7, 00:00, Primera A 1 : 0
Deportivo Pasto - Águilas Doradas October 1, 03:00, Primera A 0 : 3
Deportivo Pasto - Águilas Doradas June 11, 03:30, Primera A 3 : 0

Prediction and Historical Statistics

Primera A Colombia · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Deportivo Pasto (Win or draw)

Home: 45% Draw: 45% Away: 10%

Advice: Double chance : Deportivo Pasto or draw

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -2.5 / Away -2.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto

Form: WWWLDWDDWWLWWLDWWLLLLL

Matches: 22 played (W: 10, D: 4, L: 8)

Goals: 1.4 avg scored / 1.4 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 7

Failed to score: 5

Águilas Doradas
Águilas Doradas

Form: DLWDWLWDLWLDWLWLLDWW

Matches: 20 played (W: 8, D: 5, L: 7)

Goals: 1.1 avg scored / 1.3 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 4

Failed to score: 5

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Analytics

Basic forecast
Pasto to win or draw (1X) with a slight bias to Pasto given home venue.
Pick: 1X.
Reasoning: Home advantage and lack of clear head-to-head disruption; prices favor Pasto modestly.
Apply small-stake bet to capture value without overexposure.
Total forecast
Over 2.5 goals is plausible given attacking emphasis in the league and balanced defenses.
Pick: Over 2.5 goals.
Reasoning: Both teams tend to contribute offensively in Primera A, increasing likelihood of a multi-goal match.
Alternative: BTTS Yes is plausible if both teams push for results; monitor in-play dynamics.
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto
Pasto often leverages home pressure to control tempo and create chances.
Strengths include disciplined buildup and tactical pressing when at home.
Weaknesses involve occasional defensive lapses that can invite counters.
Matchup fit favors Pasto’s ability to impose rhythm and create scoring opportunities, supporting a win expectation.
Águilas Doradas
Águilas Doradas
Águilas Doradas rely on compact defense and quick transitions to threaten.
Strengths include organized back line and efficient counter options.
Weaknesses may include inconsistent finishing and vulnerability to wide play.
Matchup fit suggests a cautious approach from Doradas, with counter opportunities potentially testing Pasto’s defense in the final third.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Lineups for the match
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto
Starting line-up
No1 J. Soto Goalkeeper
No13 J. Melendez Defender
No4 A. Mosquera Defender
No3 J. Ontaneda Defender
No32 J. Mena Defender
No25 J. Roa Midfielder
No8 A. Ricaurte Midfielder
No10 Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca Midfielder
No19 F. Lozano Midfielder
No7 E. Arízalas Midfielder
No9 A. Vásquez Forward
Substitutes
No6 I. Rojas Midfielder
No16 M. Ramírez Forward
No21 R. Márquez Forward
No34 H. Arango Goalkeeper
No26 D. Lozano Defender
No28 S. Rodríguez Defender
No24 J. Ávalo Midfielder

Coach: David Nino Casteblanco Juan

Águilas Doradas
Águilas Doradas
Starting line-up
No1 E. A. Cabezas Quinonez Goalkeeper
No33 M. Garavito Defender
No8 E. Serje Defender
No36 J. Quiñónes Defender
No3 J. Ossa Defender
No18 J. Micolta Midfielder
No23 Y. Góez Midfielder
No10 D. Chávez Midfielder
No32 M. Pisano Midfielder
No9 J. Obregón Forward
No29 S. Cordoba Forward
Substitutes
No16 M. Gil Midfielder
No15 H. Mancilla Midfielder
No12 G. Banguera Goalkeeper
No27 H. Goyes Forward
No22 Y. Tolosa Forward
No17 J. Mendez Forward
No11 A. Ibargüen Forward
No19 Krisztian Paraszhidisz Forward

Coach: Jonathan Risueno

Events of the Deportivo Pasto - Águilas Doradas match
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto
Águilas Doradas
Águilas Doradas
Гол
Дж. Обрегóн (assist: С. Кордоба)
10'
16'
Желтая карточка
А. Рикаурте
25'
Желтая карточка
Дж. Роа
Желтая карточка
М. Писано
25'
Желтая карточка
Э. Сердже
32'
45+1'
Гол
Дж. Мена
46'
Substitution 1
Дж. Роа (assist: И. Роджас)
52'
Гол
А. Вáскуез (assist: Э. Арíзалас)
60'
Substitution 2
Э. Арíзалас (assist: М. Рамíрез)
68'
Substitution 3
А. Вáскуез (assist: Уилман Александер Агуирре Мáркуез)
Желтая карточка
М. Писано
69'
Красная карточка
М. Писано
69'
72'
Желтая карточка
Уилман Александер Агуирре Мáркуез
Substitution 1
С. Кордоба (assist: М. Гил)
73'
Substitution 2
Дж. Миколта (assist: Х. Манкилла)
74'
Substitution 3
Д. Чáвез (assist: А. Ибаргüен)
80'
80'
Substitution 4
Джуниор Александер Ногуера Мачука (assist: Д. Лозано)
Substitution 4
Й. Гóез (assist: Крисзтиан Парасзхидисз)
90+1'
The latest face-to-face meetings between Deportivo Pasto - Águilas Doradas

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