Match Prediction: ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock – Premiership Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

The match is likely balanced with a slight edge to the home side given venue familiarity.
Betting lean should favor a 1X (draw-no-bet) or home win with risk considered on goals timing.
There is a moderate risk of parity, so avoid hefty multi-market commitments.
Overall, home advantage and form tilt the tie toward a narrow home win or draw with careful staking.

Finished August 2, 16:00
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
General
Sport Football
League Premiership
Country England
Season 2026-2027
Tour/Round -
Date/time August 2, 16:00
Status Finished
Referee -
Stadium McDiarmid Park
Comparing commands
Form
Home 0%
Guests 0%
Attack
Home 0%
Guests 0%
Protection
Home 0%
Guests 0%
Goals
Home 42%
Guests 58%
H2H
Home 40%
Guests 60%
Result
Home 41.0%
Guests 59.0%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
ST Johnstone - Kilmarnock May 3, 17:00, Premiership 0 : 2
ST Johnstone - Kilmarnock February 15, 18:00, Premiership 1 : 3
ST Johnstone - Kilmarnock November 23, 18:00, Premiership 1 : 0
ST Johnstone - Kilmarnock August 11, 17:00, Premiership 3 : 0
ST Johnstone - Kilmarnock April 13, 17:00, Premiership 0 : 2
ST Johnstone - Kilmarnock December 23, 18:00, Premiership 1 : 2
ST Johnstone - Kilmarnock November 1, 22:45, Premiership 2 : 1

Prediction and Historical Statistics

Premiership Scotland · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Kilmarnock (Win or draw)

Home: 10% Draw: 45% Away: 45%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kilmarnock

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals:

ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone

Goals: 0.0 avg scored / 0.0 avg conceded

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock

Goals: 0.0 avg scored / 0.0 avg conceded

Recommended Sportsbook

Analytics

Basic forecast
Pick: Home win or draw (1X) for ST Johnstone.
Reason: No decisive H2H signal, but home park advantage and potential for a controlled performance.
Market suggestion: 1X at modest odds with emphasis on avoiding a heavy loss if Kilmarnock score early.
Support: Balanced fixture with likely tactical stalemate or single goal decision fits 1X viability.
Total forecast
Over/Under: Under 2.5 goals with a lean toward a tight 1-0 or 1-1 result.
Reasoning: Both sides may prioritize structure and defensive discipline at kick-off.
Bet: Under 2.5 goals for this fixture given cautious opening phases and limited clear-cut chances.
Alternative: BTTS No if the match stays tight, aligning with a low-scoring outcome.
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone style leans on compact defending and structured attack.
Strength is organization and set-piece potential in home matches.
Weakness could be occasional difficulty breaking down compact teams away or lacking clinical finishing.
Matchup fit: Solid against balanced teams when at home, translating to a smaller-margin win probability.
Betting impact: Home-focused bets like 1X or under 2.5 goals benefit from a controlled game plan.
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock often rely on quick transitions and disciplined away performance.
Strength is pace on the break and efficiency in key moments.
Weakness could be susceptibility to sustained pressure from organized defenses.
Matchup fit: Against a structured home side, away chances hinge on countering and long balls.
Betting impact: Away goals potential exists, but high-variance; consider modest exposure on X2 or under 2.5 goals.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Lineups for the match
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
Starting line-up
No1 M. Stryjek Goalkeeper
No8 E. Ring Defender
No25 E. Brown Defender
No14 G. Stanger Defender
No21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen Defender
No11 G. Kiltie Midfielder
No36 A. Tshibola Midfielder
No18 T. Lowery Midfielder
No20 N. Cleșcenco Midfielder
No10 T. John-Jules Forward
No9 J. Hugill Forward
Substitutes
No2 J. Brandon Defender
No49 B. Rice Midfielder
No23 Roshaun Mathurin Forward
No5 M. O'Hara Midfielder
No12 C. Ferrie Goalkeeper
No39 E. Bowie Defender
No15 J. Yfeko Defender
No7 R. McKenzie Midfielder
No27 I. Owen Forward

Coach: Neil McCann

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Starting line-up
No1 T. Steward Goalkeeper
No33 L. Smith Defender
No5 Z. Mitchell Defender
No3 C. Diabate Defender
No14 M. Foulds Defender
No42 R. McAlear Midfielder
No8 J. Holt Midfielder
No11 S. Stanton Midfielder
No10 J. Gullan Midfielder
No99 R. Paton Midfielder
No9 J. Fowler Forward
Substitutes
No23 L. Chalmers Midfielder
No18 K. Fotheringham Forward
No20 R. Sinclair Goalkeeper
No15 J. Baird Defender
No4 M. Boyes Defender
No19 D. Finlayson Defender
No7 T. Steven Forward
No25 M. Tait Midfielder

Coach: Simo Valakari

Events of the ST Johnstone - Kilmarnock match
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Гол
Дж. Фовлер (assist: Дж. Гуллан)
16'
21'
Желтая карточка
Т. Джохн-Джулес
37'
Гол
Г. Килтие (assist: Т. Ловери)
45+2'
Substitution 1
Т. Джохн-Джулес (assist: Дж. Брандон)
Желтая карточка
Л. Смит
45+4'
Гол
К. Диабате (assist: Дж. Гуллан)
47'
49'
Гол
Дж. Хьюгилл
Желтая карточка
К. Диабате
52'
53'
Автогол
Дж. Холт
59'
Substitution 2
А. Тшибола (assist: Б. Рике)
59'
Substitution 3
Н. Клеșкенко (assist: Рошаун Матурин)
Substitution 1
Дж. Холт (assist: Л. Чалмерс)
61'
Substitution 2
Р. Патон (assist: К. Фотерингхам)
61'
66'
Substitution 4
Э. Ринг (assist: М. О'хара)
Substitution 3
Р. МкАлеар (assist: Л. Ллоид)
69'
Автогол
Мичаел Счджøннинг-Ларсен
69'
Гол
К. Фотерингхам (assist: Дж. Фовлер)
80'
83'
Желтая карточка
Дж. Брандон
Substitution 4
Дж. Фовлер (assist: М. Таит)
84'
Substitution 5
Дж. Гуллан (assist: Дж. Баирд)
85'
85'
Substitution 5
Г. Килтие (assist: И. Овен)

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