Match Prediction: New England Revolution vs Toronto FC – Major League Soccer Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

Likely balanced contest with home advantage for New England; no clear standout side from sparse H2H.
The safer betting lean is home team 1X or draw-no-bet given Gillette Stadium familiarity.
Risk exists from Toronto's counter chances and away performance in MLS play.
Betting lean: 1X or under 2.5 goals is plausible given tactical caution.

Finished July 23, 02:30
New England Revolution New England Revolution
Toronto FC Toronto FC
General
Sport Football
League Major League Soccer
Country USA
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 23, 02:30
Status Finished
Referee S. Demianchuk
Stadium Gillette Stadium
Comparing commands
Form
Home 82%
Guests 18%
Attack
Home 50%
Guests 50%
Protection
Home 63%
Guests 38%
Goals
Home 56%
Guests 44%
H2H
Home 50%
Guests 50%
Result
Home 63.3%
Guests 36.8%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
New England Revolution - Toronto FC September 14, 02:30, Major League Soccer 1 : 1
New England Revolution - Toronto FC May 3, 23:30, Major League Soccer 2 : 0
New England Revolution - Toronto FC April 21, 02:30, Major League Soccer 0 : 1
New England Revolution - Toronto FC March 3, 22:00, Major League Soccer 0 : 1
New England Revolution - Toronto FC June 25, 02:30, Major League Soccer 2 : 1
New England Revolution - Toronto FC May 7, 02:30, Major League Soccer 2 : 0
New England Revolution - Toronto FC August 18, 02:30, Major League Soccer 2 : 2

Prediction and Historical Statistics

Major League Soccer USA · 2026
Prediction

Winner: New England Revolution (Win or draw)

Home: 45% Draw: 45% Away: 10%

Advice: Double chance : New England Revolution or draw

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -2.5 / Away -1.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
New England Revolution
New England Revolution

Form: LLWLWWWWDWWLWL

Matches: 14 played (W: 8, D: 1, L: 5)

Goals: 1.6 avg scored / 1.3 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 3

Failed to score: 3

Toronto FC
Toronto FC

Form: LLWDWWDDDLDLLLD

Matches: 15 played (W: 3, D: 6, L: 6)

Goals: 1.5 avg scored / 1.9 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 2

Failed to score: 2

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Analytics

Basic forecast
New England Revolution to win or draw (1X) is a plausible outcome given home comfort and control.
Consider Under 2.5 goals as a complementary angle due to balanced defenses and midfield battle.
Primary market pick: 1X with a slight bias toward 1 for a controlled home performance.
Supporting reasoning: home form, structure, and disciplined defense reduce high-scoring chances.
Total forecast
Total goals expected around 2 to 3 goals.
BTTS is uncertain given defensive emphasis, so avoid BTTS unless market favors both sides.
Recommended total: Under 2.5 goals due to tactical setup and home defensive focus.
Rationale: conservative expectation of a tight match with chances limited to set-pieces or breaks.
New England Revolution
New England Revolution
Style emphasizes possession and high-press in the opponent half.
Strengths include organized defense and midfield control at home.
Weaknesses may involve vulnerability on fast counters when high line is pressed.
Matchup fit suggests home pressure could disrupt Toronto's buildup and create scoring chances.
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
Style relies on compact defense and fast transitions on turnover.
Strengths include counter potential and resilience under pressure.
Weaknesses include possible spacing gaps if pressed aggressively by the home side.
Matchup fit indicates Toronto can exploit space on the break if Revolution commit players forward.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Lineups for the match
New England Revolution
New England Revolution
Starting line-up
No1 L. Gavran Goalkeeper
No38 J. Gilman Defender
No25 W. Zimmerman Defender
No96 R. Chukwu Defender
No29 D. Kerr Midfielder
No14 Alonso Coello Midfielder
No21 J. Osorio Midfielder
No22 R. Laryea Midfielder
No99 J. Vilsaint Forward
No20 D. Sallói Forward
No17 Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga Forward
Substitutes
No9 J. Sargent Forward
No7 T. Corbeanu Forward
No78 Malik Henry Midfielder
No12 Z. Monlouis Defender
No23 W. Yarbrough Goalkeeper
No77 A. De Rosario Goalkeeper
No19 K. Franklin Defender
No44 R. Edwards Defender
No11 D. Etienne Forward

Coach: Robin Fraser

Toronto FC
Toronto FC
Starting line-up
No30 M. Turner Goalkeeper
No8 M. Polster Defender
No22 E. Kohler Defender
No2 M. Fofana Defender
No23 W. Sands Defender
No21 B. Raines Midfielder
No80 A. Yusuf Midfielder
No25 P. Miller Midfielder
No10 Carles Gil Midfielder
No7 G. Yow Midfielder
No11 D. Turgeman Forward
Substitutes
No17 Marcos Zambrano-Delgado Forward
No41 L. Langoni Forward
No27 W. Harris Forward
No3 B. Ceballos Defender
No14 J. Yueill Midfielder
No33 D. Parisian Goalkeeper
No15 C. Baker Defender
No4 T. Beason Defender
No77 D. Fagundez Midfielder

Coach: Marko Mitrovic

Events of the New England Revolution - Toronto FC match
New England Revolution
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
46'
Substitution 1
Эмилио Аристизáбал Чаварриага (assist: Дж. Саргент)
Желтая карточка
М. Полстер
56'
Substitution 1
Г. Йов (assist: Маркос Замбрано-Делгадо)
60'
64'
Substitution 2
Д. Керр (assist: Малик Хенри)
64'
Substitution 3
Дж. Вилсаинт (assist: Т. Корбеану)
71'
Substitution 4
Р. Чукву (assist: З. Монлоуис)
Substitution 2
М. Полстер (assist: Л. Лангони)
73'
Substitution 3
Д. Тургеман (assist: У. Харрис)
73'
Substitution 4
Э. Кохлер (assist: Б. Кебаллос)
86'
Substitution 5
А. Йусуф (assist: Дж. Йуеилл)
86'
Желтая карточка
Б. Раинес
90+3'
The latest face-to-face meetings between New England Revolution - Toronto FC

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