Match Prediction: Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls – Major League Soccer Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

Balanced call with a slight edge to the home side due to Subaru Park familiarity and home support.
The stronger side is arguably Philadelphia Union based on home metrics and tactical setup in recent matches.
Risk remains from New York Red Bulls' compact defense and quick counters, keeping the tie plausible.
Betting lean: Philadelphia Union to win or draw (1X) with a modest stake, or a focused home win in a supported market.

Finished July 23, 02:30
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
General
Sport Football
League Major League Soccer
Country USA
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 23, 02:30
Status Finished
Referee F. Bazakos
Stadium Subaru Park
Comparing commands
Form
Home 17%
Guests 83%
Attack
Home 50%
Guests 50%
Protection
Home 35%
Guests 65%
Goals
Home 70%
Guests 30%
H2H
Home 71%
Guests 29%
Result
Home 46.3%
Guests 53.7%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls August 17, 02:30, Major League Soccer 0 : 1
Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls August 14, 02:30, US Open Cup 3 : 2
Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls July 13, 02:30, Major League Soccer 2 : 0
Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls September 1, 02:30, Major League Soccer 2 : 0
Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls July 7, 02:30, Major League Soccer 0 : 0
Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls September 4, 02:30, Major League Soccer 4 : 1
Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls August 9, 03:00, Leagues Cup 1 : 1

Prediction and Historical Statistics

Major League Soccer USA · 2026
Prediction

Winner: New York Red Bulls (Win or draw)

Home: 10% Draw: 45% Away: 45%

Advice: Double chance : draw or New York Red Bulls

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -2.5 / Away -2.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union

Form: LLLLLLWDDLDLLDL

Matches: 15 played (W: 1, D: 4, L: 10)

Goals: 1.2 avg scored / 2.0 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 2

Failed to score: 5

New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls

Form: WWLDLWDLDLLWWDW

Matches: 15 played (W: 6, D: 4, L: 5)

Goals: 1.7 avg scored / 2.1 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 1

Failed to score: 3

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Analytics

Basic forecast
Philadelphia Union to win or draw (1X) with a lean toward a home win.
Pick: 1X on the match outcome market.
Reasoning: Union benefit from home advantage at Subaru Park and consistent attacking pressure in recent fixtures.
Support: Red Bulls often concede goals away from home but can threaten on counterattacks, creating a plausible non-defeat scenario for Union.
Total forecast
Over/Under goals: betting on Over 2.5 goals is reasonable given the attacking intent shown by both sides in recent matches.
Pick: Over 2.5 goals.
Reasoning: Both teams typically contribute to goals, and the fixture historically produces multiple scoring opportunities.
Alternative: BTTS Yes is also supported by expected scoring moments from both teams.
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union emphasize possession and structured pressing at home.
Strengths include an efficient frontline and steady build-up play.
Weaknesses could be exposure to high-press counterattacks if pushed too high.
Matchup fit: Their home style aligns with controlling tempo and creating chances against Red Bulls.
Betting impact: Home advantage supports a win/double chance target and augments Over 2.5 goals bias.
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls rely on compact defensive organization and quick transitions.
Strengths involve disciplined shape and set-piece awareness.
Weaknesses may include vulnerability to sustained pressure and high pressing teams.
Matchup fit: Away form will be tested against Union's home pressure and creative attackers.
Betting impact: Potential for a defensive effort that yields a Narrow defeat or draw, boosting 1X and unders in certain markets.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Lineups for the match
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
Starting line-up
No34 E. Horvath Goalkeeper
No3 J. Marshall-Rutty Defender
No2 J. Che Defender
No12 D. Nealis Defender
No56 M. Dos Santos Defender
No48 R. Donkor Midfielder
No15 A. Mehmeti Midfielder
No10 E. Forsberg Midfielder
No7 C. Cowell Forward
No16 J. Hall Forward
No11 J. Ruvalcaba Forward
Substitutes
No5 O. Valencia Defender
No14 J. Bazán Defender
No4 G. Berggren Midfielder
No37 M. Sofo Forward
No77 J. McCarthy Goalkeeper
No26 T. Parker Defender
No80 N. Worth Midfielder
No91 M. Jimenez Forward
No70 A. Rojas Forward
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
Starting line-up
No18 A. Blake Goalkeeper
No39 F. Westfield Defender
No26 N. Harriel Defender
No5 J. Sery Larsen Defender
No27 K. Wagner Defender
No6 Cavan Sullivan Midfielder
No21 D. Jean-Jacques Midfielder
No4 J. Lukić Midfielder
No19 I. Vassilev Midfielder
No9 B. Damiani Forward
No10 M. Iloski Forward
Substitutes
No44 Neil Pierre Defender
No33 Q. Sullivan Midfielder
No8 J. Bueno Midfielder
No23 E. Alladoh Forward
No76 A. Rick Goalkeeper
No2 G. Martínez Defender
No16 B. Bender Midfielder
No28 A. Anello Forward
No11 A. Bedoya Midfielder

Coach: Bradley Carnell

Events of the Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls match
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
Гол
М. Илоски
9'
38'
Гол
К. Ковелл (assist: Э. Форсберг)
46'
Substitution 1
М. Дос Сантос (assist: О. Валенкиа)
Substitution 1
Дж. Сери Ларсен (assist: Неил Пиерре)
56'
Гол
И. Вассилев (assist: Ф. Уестфиелд)
57'
Гол
Неил Пиерре (assist: К. Уагнер)
66'
Substitution 2
И. Вассилев (assist: К. Сулливан)
73'
74'
Substitution 2
Дж. Маршалл-Рутти (assist: Дж. Базáн)
74'
Substitution 3
Э. Форсберг (assist: Г. Берггрен)
74'
Substitution 4
К. Ковелл (assist: М. Софо)
77'
Желтая карточка
Р. Донкор
Substitution 3
Каван Сулливан (assist: Дж. Буено)
85'
85'
Желтая карточка
О. Валенкиа
Substitution 4
М. Илоски (assist: Э. Алладох)
85'
88'
Желтая карточка
Г. Берггрен
The latest face-to-face meetings between Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls

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