Match Prediction: St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City – Major League Soccer Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

The match appears balanced with no clear dominant side based on available signals.
St. Louis City may edge control due to home comfort and attacking intent.
Sporting KC could counter through quick transitions and set-piece opportunities.
Betting lean: X2 or draw no bet on City with a focus on under 2.5 goals.

Finished July 17, 03:30
St. Louis City St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
General
Sport Football
League Major League Soccer
Country USA
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 17, 03:30
Status Finished
Referee A. Chapman
Stadium CITYPARK
Comparing commands
Form
Home 59%
Guests 41%
Attack
Home 50%
Guests 50%
Protection
Home 73%
Guests 27%
Goals
Home 50%
Guests 50%
H2H
Home 50%
Guests 50%
Result
Home 60.8%
Guests 39.2%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City May 15, 03:45, Major League Soccer 2 : 2
St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City April 6, 03:30, Major League Soccer 0 : 2
St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City September 29, 03:30, Major League Soccer 3 : 1
St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City July 21, 03:30, Major League Soccer 1 : 1
St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City April 21, 03:30, Major League Soccer 3 : 3
St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City November 12, 02:00, Major League Soccer - : -
St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City November 6, 01:00, Major League Soccer 1 : 2

Prediction and Historical Statistics

Major League Soccer USA · 2026
Prediction

Winner: St. Louis City (Win or draw)

Home: 45% Draw: 45% Away: 10%

Advice: Double chance : St. Louis City or draw

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -3.5 / Away -2.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
St. Louis City
St. Louis City

Form: DLLLWDDLLLWWDW

Matches: 14 played (W: 4, D: 4, L: 6)

Goals: 1.1 avg scored / 1.4 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 2

Failed to score: 4

Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City

Form: LDLWLLLLLDLWWL

Matches: 14 played (W: 3, D: 2, L: 9)

Goals: 1.0 avg scored / 2.6 avg conceded

Failed to score: 5

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Analytics

Basic forecast
Main forecast: X2 goal handicap market leaning toward a draw or narrow away win.
Pick: Draw or Sporting KC to win (double chance X2) because both teams have competitive pressures.
Reasoning: City can exploit home rhythm but KC is capable of stealing points via counterattacks.
Consideration: A low-scoring affair aligns with the market signals for under 2.5 goals.
Total forecast
Total goals angle: Under 2.5 goals.
Reason: Both teams show defensive tendencies and are cautious in top-tier clashes.
Support: Expected with a tight midfield battle and limited clear-cut chances.
Betting idea: BTTS No is less likely given the defensive emphasis.
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
Style: City deploy a possession-oriented approach with high pressing.
Strengths: Solid defensive structure and home-field familiarity.
Weaknesses: Finishing efficiency could be tested against KC’s compact defense.
Matchup fit: City’s ball control will test KC’s transition defense; betting impact favors unders and double chances.
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
Style: KC rely on structured defense and quick counters.
Strengths: Effective organization and set-piece threat.
Weaknesses: Need to convert chances in away contexts.
Matchup fit: KC’s counters may disrupt City’s possession game; betting impact supports X2 and unders.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Lineups for the match
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
Starting line-up
No30 S. Cleveland Goalkeeper
No2 I. James Defender
No15 Jansen Miller Defender
No5 O. Blorian Defender
No99 J. Reid Defender
No4 L. Johnsen Midfielder
No22 Z. Bassong Midfielder
No7 Capita Midfielder
No6 Manu García Midfielder
No11 C. Harris Midfielder
No9 D. Joveljić Forward
Substitutes
No18 E. Karić Defender
No8 J. Davis Midfielder
No23 E. Bartlow Defender
No20 K. Agyabeng Midfielder
No17 S. Afrifa Forward
No1 J. Pulskamp Goalkeeper
No16 J. Bartlett Defender
No14 M. Tschantret Midfielder
No93 M. Suleymanov Forward

Coach: Raphael Wicky

Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
Starting line-up
No39 B. Lundt Goalkeeper
No5 L. MacNaughton Defender
No32 T. Baumgartl Defender
No21 D. Polvara Defender
No6 C. Wallem Midfielder
No10 E. Löwen Midfielder
No24 D. Edelman Midfielder
No14 T. Totland Midfielder
No77 Jeong Sang-Bin Forward
No11 S. Becher Forward
No17 M. Hartel Forward
Substitutes
No20 R. Santos Defender
No28 M. Perez Midfielder
No31 C. Olivares Goalkeeper
No27 F. Fall Defender
No22 K. Hiebert Defender
No99 J. Orozco Defender
No7 T. Ostrák Midfielder
No59 M. Joyner Midfielder
No29 P. Ault Midfielder

Coach: Yoann Damet

Events of the St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City match
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
Гол
Джеонг Санг-Бин
28'
Гол
М. Хартел (assist: С. Бечер)
36'
42'
Гол
Капита
46'
Substitution 1
И. Джамес (assist: Дж. Давис)
Substitution 1
К. Уаллем (assist: Рафаел Сантос)
46'
46'
Substitution 2
Дж. Реид (assist: Э. Кариć)
Substitution 2
Джеонг Санг-Бин (assist: М. Перез)
64'
75'
Substitution 3
О. Блориан (assist: Э. Бартлов)
76'
Substitution 4
З. Бассонг (assist: К. Агябенг)
76'
Гол
Д. Джовелджиć (assist: Ману Гаркíа)
78'
Желтая карточка
Капита
85'
Substitution 5
Капита (assist: С. Африфа)
Пенальти
Э. Лöвен
85'
Substitution 3
Э. Лöвен (assist: Т. Острáк)
88'
Substitution 4
Т. Тотланд (assist: Дж. Орозко)
88'
Желтая карточка
Б. Лундт
90'
Substitution 5
С. Бечер (assist: П. Аулт)
90+6'
Желтая карточка
Д. Эделман
90+7'
The latest face-to-face meetings between St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City

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