Match Prediction: Mushuc Runa SC vs Independiente del Valle – Liga Pro Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

Independiente del Valle appears the stronger side on balance and is likely to control midfield.
The matchup leans toward the away team due to tempo and defensive organization, though Mushuc Runa can counter on home turf.
Risk exists from Mushuc Runa's potential to frustrate and steal a result with tight defending.
Betting lean: X2 or away win with a smaller stake on under 2.5 goals to manage risk.

Finished July 11, 22:10
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
General
Sport Football
League Liga Pro
Country Ecuador
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 11, 22:10
Status Finished
Referee G. Araujo
Stadium Estadio Bellavista
Comparing commands
Form
Home 29%
Guests 71%
Attack
Home 33%
Guests 67%
Protection
Home 33%
Guests 67%
Goals
Home 38%
Guests 63%
H2H
Home 15%
Guests 85%
Result
Home 31.3%
Guests 68.8%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Mushuc Runa SC - Independiente del Valle March 8, 00:30, Liga Pro 1 : 3
Mushuc Runa SC - Independiente del Valle September 20, 22:00, Liga Pro 2 : 2
Mushuc Runa SC - Independiente del Valle August 20, 03:30, CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2 : 1
Mushuc Runa SC - Independiente del Valle August 13, 03:30, CONMEBOL Sudamericana 0 : 1
Mushuc Runa SC - Independiente del Valle May 24, 00:30, Liga Pro 1 : 2
Mushuc Runa SC - Independiente del Valle October 5, 19:00, Liga Pro 1 : 1
Mushuc Runa SC - Independiente del Valle April 19, 00:30, Liga Pro 1 : 2

Prediction and Historical Statistics

Liga Pro Ecuador · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Independiente del Valle (Win or draw)

Home: 0% Draw: 50% Away: 50%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Independiente del Valle

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -2.5 / Away -3.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Mushuc Runa SC
Mushuc Runa SC

Form: DDLDLWDWWLWLLLDDW

Matches: 17 played (W: 5, D: 6, L: 6)

Goals: 1.3 avg scored / 1.4 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 6

Failed to score: 4

Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle

Form: WWWDLWWWLWWWWWLWW

Matches: 17 played (W: 13, D: 1, L: 3)

Goals: 2.1 avg scored / 1.1 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 7

Failed to score: 2

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Analytics

Basic forecast
Pick: X2 (Independiente del Valle or draw) with a focus on under 2.5 goals.
Reason: Both teams may tighten up and avoid exposing themselves to counter chances.
Market: Under 2.5 goals aligns with typical Liga Pro tempo when stronger sides visit compact defenses.
Rationale: The away team’s strength and Mushuc Runa’s home setup suggest a low-scoring contest.
Total forecast
Total goals forecast: Under 2.5 goals.
Support: Matches in this league often stay tight, especially in neutral or difficult away trips.
Alternative: If market shows value, consider BTTS No as a secondary hedging angle.
Confidence: Moderate given lack of detailed H2H data in the current context.
Mushuc Runa SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Mushuc Runa SC typically operates with disciplined defense and quick counter options.
Strength lies in compact organization and home-ground familiarity.
Weakness may be limited attacking depth against organized backlines.
Fit vs Independiente del Valle suggests a cautious approach with opportunities on the break.
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle is generally well-structured with strong midfield control and efficient finishing.
Strengths include defensive solidity and transition play that can exploit spaces behind a pressing opponent.
Weaknesses could involve vulnerability to sustained pressing teams if midfield lines are bypassed.
Matchup fit indicates potential for away wins but requires patience; betting impact favors resilient, lower-margin bets.

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Sportsbook Promotions

Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Events of the Mushuc Runa SC - Independiente del Valle match
Mushuc Runa SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
19'
Гол
Д. Реаско (assist: Эмерсон Иван Пата Родрíгуез)
35'
Гол
Дж. Сорноза (assist: Л. Лоор)
Желтая карточка
Дж. Флор
44'
49'
Гол
Д. Реаско
56'
Желтая карточка
Дж. Эспиноза
Substitution 1
Кристофер Адонис Ангуло Каикедо (assist: Э. Каикедо)
58'
Substitution 2
Й. Гонзалез (assist: А. Замбрано)
58'
63'
Substitution 1
Дж. Сорноза (assist: М. Лавренке)
64'
Substitution 2
Р. Брионес (assist: Х. Куинтана)
64'
Substitution 3
А. Родрíгуез (assist: М. Переллó)
Гол
Эстебан Николáс Дáвила Аларкóн
66'
74'
Желтая карточка
Дж. Мéндез
Substitution 3
М. Хернáндез (assist: Й. Кусме)
76'
Substitution 4
Р. Каррилло (assist: Д. Мерино)
76'
76'
Substitution 4
Дж. Мéндез (assist: Дж. Алкíвар)
76'
Substitution 5
Эмерсон Иван Пата Родрíгуез (assist: Е. Куинтеро)
Желтая карточка
Дж. Куиñонес
85'
Substitution 5
Алекс Ренато Ибарра Мина (assist: Ф. Карабалí)
88'
90'
Гол
М. Переллó
The latest face-to-face meetings between Mushuc Runa SC - Independiente del Valle

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