Match Prediction: Stenhousemuir vs Livingston – League Cup Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

Stenhousemuir and Livingston show balanced odds in this cup clash, making the match fairly even.
Livingston may hold a slight edge due to higher league experience and bench depth.
The risk is a possible underdog bounce from Stenhousemuir if they defend well and capitalize on counter chances.
Betting lean: X2 or 1X with a focus on a cautious BTTS/Over 2.5 depending on live flow.

Finished July 25, 17:00
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
Livingston Livingston
General
Sport Football
League League Cup
Country Scotland
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 25, 17:00
Status Finished
Referee -
Stadium Ochilview Park
Comparing commands
Form
Home 60%
Guests 40%
Attack
Home 39%
Guests 61%
Protection
Home 40%
Guests 60%
Goals
Home 7%
Guests 93%
H2H
Home 0%
Guests 100%
Result
Home 36.5%
Guests 63.5%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Stenhousemuir - Livingston January 21, 18:00, FA Cup 1 : 3
Stenhousemuir - Livingston November 10, 22:30, League Cup 0 : 4
Stenhousemuir - Livingston April 15, 17:00, League One 0 : 1
Stenhousemuir - Livingston March 21, 22:45, League One 0 : 1
Stenhousemuir - Livingston December 13, 22:30, League One 0 : 4
Stenhousemuir - Livingston August 20, 17:00, League One 1 : 4

Prediction and Historical Statistics

League Cup Scotland · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Livingston (Win or draw)

Home: 10% Draw: 45% Away: 45%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Livingston and +1.5 goals

Under/Over: +1.5

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -3.5 / Away -4.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir

Form: WWW

Matches: 3 played (W: 3, D: 0, L: 0)

Goals: 2.3 avg scored / 1.0 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 1

Livingston
Livingston

Form: WLW

Matches: 3 played (W: 2, D: 0, L: 1)

Goals: 3.7 avg scored / 0.7 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 2

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Analytics

Basic forecast
Prediction: Draw or Livingston slight edge (X2) is reasonable given odds.
Pick: X2 (draw or away win) as the primary market.
Reasoning: Both teams have conceding potential but Livingston can exploit cup fixtures; Stenhousemuir push for a surprise.
If backing a single-market bet, consider BTTS yes with Over 2.5 goals if early signs suggest openness.
Total forecast
Total goals forecast: Over 2.5 goals.
Rationale: Both sides show attacking intent in cup contexts and expect an open game.
Alternative: BTTS yes aligns with expected goal flow from a mid-tier cup tie.
Limitations: Early team news could tilt toward a tighter 1-0 to either side.
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir play with compact defense and quick transitions.
Strengths lie in disciplined structure and set-piece potential in a cup tie.
Weaknesses include potential stamina gaps later in the match against a more experienced side.
Matchup fit: The home backdrop at Ochilview Park can support a defensively solid approach with opportunistic counters.
Livingston
Livingston
Livingston bring league experience and wider squad options for Cup fixtures.
Strengths include structured pressing and efficient finishing in breaking open defenses.
Weaknesses could be vulnerability to fast counters if pressed high by the home side.
Matchup fit: They should control pace and tempo, increasing betting viability on away win or draw outcomes.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Lineups for the match
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Starting line-up
No28 J. Prior Goalkeeper
No22 J. Doherty Defender
No23 Brooklyn Kabongolo Defender
No3 Babacar Fati Defender
No17 S. May Midfielder
No39 L. Polworth Midfielder
No27 G. Carey Forward
No9 R. Muirhead Forward
No7 T. Sinclair Forward
Substitutes
No14 J. Hamilton Goalkeeper
No2 C. Kerr Defender
No5 R. McGowan Defender
No26 C. Montaño Defender
No4 J. Wilkie Defender
No6 A. Denholm Midfielder
No15 Trialist B Midfielder
No36 S. Culbert Forward
No15 C. MacPherson Midfielder

Coach: Glenn Whelan

Livingston
Livingston
Starting line-up
No1 D. Jamieson Goalkeeper
No2 R. Meechan Defender
No5 S. Young Defender
No28 C. Penman Midfielder
No17 M. Anderson Midfielder
No14 K. Bilham Midfielder
No11 L. O'Donnell Midfielder
No15 D. Carrick Forward
Substitutes
No4 G. Buchanan Defender
No25 E. Deveney Defender
No34 R. Hemfrey Goalkeeper
No7 E. O'Reilly Midfielder
No8 F. Robson Midfielder
No22 S. Scally Midfielder

Coach: Gary Naysmith

Events of the Stenhousemuir - Livingston match
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Livingston
Livingston
Substitution 1
М. Андерсон (assist: Ф. Робсон)
28'
Желтая карточка
К. Пенман
47'
49'
Нереализованный пенальти
Р. Муирхеад (assist: Р. Муирхеад)
61'
Substitution 1
Л. Полворт (assist: К. МакФерсон)
61'
Substitution 2
Г. Кареи (assist: Дж. Уилкие)
Substitution 2
Д. Каррик (assist: Э. О'Реилли)
64'
Substitution 3
Левис Ходгкисс (assist: Л. Грант)
64'
72'
Substitution 3
Дж. Дохерти (assist: К. Керр)
Substitution 4
Л. О&апос;Доннелл (assist: Г. Бучанан)
73'
Желтая карточка
М. Гиллиес
80'
83'
Substitution 4
С. Питтман (assist: С. Кулберт)
83'
Substitution 5
Бабакар Фати (assist: Дж. Богган)
Желтая карточка
Л. Грант
85'
Пенальти
Г. Бучанан
120+1'
120+1'
Нереализованный пенальти
Р. Муирхеад
Нереализованный пенальти
Э. О'Реилли
120+2'
120+2'
Пенальти
К. МакФерсон
Пенальти
М. Гиллиес
120+3'
120+3'
Нереализованный пенальти
С. Маи
Нереализованный пенальти
Р. Меечан
120+4'
120+4'
Нереализованный пенальти
К. Керр
Пенальти
С. Бригхт
120+5'
The latest face-to-face meetings between Stenhousemuir - Livingston

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