Match Prediction: Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl – First League Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

The market is balanced but the home advantage may edge Torpedo Moskva based on venue familiarity.
Shinnik Yaroslavl can surprise if they adopt a compact defense and quick transitions.
Risk leans toward a draw or narrow victory depending on discipline and set-piece effectiveness.
Preferred bet: X2 or 1X with careful bankroll management given limited H2H data.

Finished July 26, 17:00
Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva
Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl
General
Sport Football
League First League
Country Russia
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 26, 17:00
Status Finished
Referee -
Stadium Arena Khimki
Comparing commands
Form
Home 60%
Guests 40%
Attack
Home 50%
Guests 50%
Protection
Home 67%
Guests 33%
Goals
Home 67%
Guests 33%
H2H
Home 75%
Guests 25%
Result
Home 63.8%
Guests 36.2%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Torpedo Moskva - Shinnik Yaroslavl May 11, 17:00, First League 1 : 1
Torpedo Moskva - Shinnik Yaroslavl October 20, 19:30, First League 0 : 0
Torpedo Moskva - Shinnik Yaroslavl May 11, 17:00, First League 1 : 0
Torpedo Moskva - Shinnik Yaroslavl September 21, 15:00, First League 1 : 1
Torpedo Moskva - Shinnik Yaroslavl June 20, 15:30, Friendlies Clubs 1 : 0
Torpedo Moskva - Shinnik Yaroslavl May 20, 19:30, First League 1 : 1
Torpedo Moskva - Shinnik Yaroslavl October 28, 16:00, First League 1 : 1

Prediction and Historical Statistics

First League Russia · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Torpedo Moskva (Win or draw)

Home: 45% Draw: 45% Away: 10%

Advice: Double chance : Torpedo Moskva or draw

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -2.5 / Away -2.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Torpedo Moskva
Torpedo Moskva

Form: WW

Matches: 2 played (W: 2, D: 0, L: 0)

Goals: 2.0 avg scored / 0.5 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 1

Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl

Form: DW

Matches: 2 played (W: 1, D: 1, L: 0)

Goals: 2.0 avg scored / 1.0 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 1

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Analytics

Basic forecast
Forecast targets a draw or a narrow win by the home side.
Pick: Torpedo Moskva win or draw (1X) at moderate odds.
Rationale: home ground and potential early pressure can create scoring chances without overcommitment.
Supporting factor: both teams’ current form is not clearly superior, making a cautious 1X more suitable.
Total forecast
Target total goals: Under 2.5 goals.
Rationale: balanced teams and cautious approach from both sides may limit high-scoring spells.
Alternative angle: BTTS No could be viable if defenses tighten after early exchanges.
Market pick: Under 2.5 goals with a lean toward a 1X outcome.
Torpedo Moskva
Torpedo Moskva
Torpedo Moskva typically leverages home comfort and organized pressing.
Strengths include compact defense and midfield control in familiar arenas.
Weaknesses may surface if they lack cutting edge in the final third.
Matchup fit: home fixture can tip tight contests in their favor for a small-margin win or draw.
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl often relies on disciplined shape and counter opportunities.
Strengths include solid structure and set-piece potential.
Weaknesses may appear in open play against possession-based teams.
Matchup fit: away performance could hinge on how well they absorb pressure and hit on transition.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Lineups for the match
Torpedo Moskva
Torpedo Moskva
Starting line-up
No51 T. Mitrov Goalkeeper
No27 A. Cherny Defender
No62 V. Karpov Defender
No53 N. Kotin Defender
No32 A. Kosogorov Defender
No20 D. Martovoy Midfielder
No50 A. Golubev Midfielder
No64 O. Lanin Midfielder
No23 N. Chistyakov Defender
No88 D. Mironov Forward
No11 I. Porokhov Forward
Substitutes
No15 D. Samoylov Forward
No77 A. Gongapshev Forward
No54 I. Shmakov Midfielder
No49 M. Karaev Defender
No24 I. Azyavin Midfielder
No95 D. Vambolt Goalkeeper
No17 E. Valiakhmetov Midfielder
No7 A. Antonov Midfielder
No15 D. Pushkarev Forward

Coach: Denis Boyarintsev

Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Starting line-up
No25 R. Soldatenko Goalkeeper
No99 G. Shevchenko Defender
No4 N. Bozov Defender
No4 S. Borodin Defender
No44 D. Kornyushin Midfielder
No33 M. Camara Midfielder
No24 A. Pogosov Forward
No5 V. Moskvichev Midfielder
No17 I. Berkovskiy Forward
No21 A. Galoyan Midfielder
No79 A. Kashtanov Forward
Substitutes
No27 A. Orekhov Midfielder
No10 D. Tsypchenko Forward
No11 R. Apekov Forward
No58 D. Ladokha Goalkeeper
No48 S. Mokrousov Goalkeeper
No84 V. Churilov Defender
No3 A. Ivankov Defender
No90 B. Roganović Midfielder
No97 M. Ćurić Midfielder
No19 Abdurazak Isadibirov Forward

Coach: Aleksandr Storozhuk

Events of the Torpedo Moskva - Shinnik Yaroslavl match
Torpedo Moskva
Torpedo Moskva
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
17'
Гол
Д. Миронов
26'
Желтая карточка
О. Ланин
Желтая карточка
А. Погосов
42'
Substitution 1
А. Галоиан (assist: Д. Тсипченко)
46'
Substitution 2
А. Погосов (assist: А. Орекхов)
46'
Гол
А. Каштанов
52'
56'
Substitution 1
И. Порокхов (assist: А. Гонгапшев)
56'
Substitution 2
Д. Мартовои (assist: Д. Самоилов)
62'
Substitution 3
Н. Котин (assist: И. Шмаков)
Substitution 3
И. Берковскии (assist: Р. Апеков)
65'
67'
Substitution 4
Н. Чистиаков (assist: М. Караев)
67'
Substitution 5
Д. Миронов (assist: И. Азиавин)
69'
Желтая карточка
Артеми Косогоров
Substitution 4
М. Камара (assist: У. Аджибона)
82'
Желтая карточка
А. Иванков
88'
The latest face-to-face meetings between Torpedo Moskva - Shinnik Yaroslavl

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