Match Prediction: Maardu vs Tartu Welco – Esiliiga A Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

The likely stronger side is Maardu given home advantage and steady scoring; risk is balanced by Welco's defensive discipline.
Lean toward Maardu to win or draw double chance as a safer bet in a tight fixture.
Betting risk exists due to limited H2H data and possible variance in Esiliiga A fixtures.
Contextual odds favor Maardu marginally, but expect a competitive 90 minutes with small scoring margins.

Finished July 13, 19:00
Maardu Maardu
Tartu Welco Tartu Welco
General
Sport Football
League Esiliiga A
Country Estonia
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 13, 19:00
Status Finished
Referee -
Stadium Maardu linnastaadion
Comparing commands
Form
Home 43%
Guests 57%
Attack
Home 43%
Guests 57%
Protection
Home 33%
Guests 67%
Goals
Home 57%
Guests 43%
H2H
Home 38%
Guests 62%
Result
Home 40.0%
Guests 60.0%
Face-to-face meetings (recent)
Maardu - Tartu Welco May 24, 15:00, Esiliiga A 0 : 1
Maardu - Tartu Welco March 21, 18:00, Esiliiga A 1 : 5
Maardu - Tartu Welco October 2, 13:00, Esiliiga A - : -
Maardu - Tartu Welco September 18, 13:00, Esiliiga A 7 : 0
Maardu - Tartu Welco September 12, 13:00, Esiliiga A - : -
Maardu - Tartu Welco July 30, 19:00, Esiliiga A - : -
Maardu - Tartu Welco July 14, 19:00, Esiliiga A 4 : 0

Prediction and Historical Statistics

Esiliiga A Estonia · 2026
Prediction

Winner: Tartu Welco (Win or draw)

Home: 10% Draw: 45% Away: 45%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tartu Welco

Double Chance: Win or Draw

Goals: Home -2.5 / Away -3.5

W Win D Draw L Loss
Maardu
Maardu

Form: LLLDWLDDLWWLDLWWDW

Matches: 18 played (W: 6, D: 5, L: 7)

Goals: 1.4 avg scored / 2.1 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 2

Failed to score: 4

Tartu Welco
Tartu Welco

Form: WWWWWWLDWLDWWWWWWD

Matches: 18 played (W: 13, D: 3, L: 2)

Goals: 3.0 avg scored / 1.3 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 5

Failed to score: 2

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Analytics

Basic forecast
Maardu to win or draw 1X is a plausible call given home form and Welco's defensive trend.
Bet on Maardu within 1X2 with a focus on Maardu double chance for reduced risk.
The reasoning relies on Maardu's home advantage and higher goal involvement in recent matches.
A small stake on Under 2.5 goals aligns with likely low-scoring nature of the fixture.
Total forecast
Total goals expected: Under 2.5 goals.
This aligns with the tight fixture profile and defensive tendencies in the form data.
Consider BTTS unlikely given the away defensive trend and lack of high scoring in last matches.
Target a single-market total with a modest stake to reflect the risk level.
Maardu
Maardu
Maardu style is balanced with organized defense and steady pressing in midfield.
Strengths include home comfort and consistent goal involvement from multiple players.
Weaknesses may be vulnerability to quick counters against disciplined sides like Welco.
The matchup fit favors Maardu's home profile and could influence market pricing.
Tartu Welco
Tartu Welco
Tartu Welco show compact defense with improving structure in the last three fixtures.
Strengths include disciplined backline and counter-attacking potential when pressing high.
Weaknesses include potential lack of width and reliance on set-pieces for scoring.
The matchup fit suggests Welco can frustrate a home side and exploit transitional moments.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Events of the Maardu - Tartu Welco match
Maardu
Maardu
Tartu Welco
Tartu Welco
1'
Гол
К. Лааснер (assist: М. Маги)
Гол
А. Волков (assist: В. Малинин)
10'
17'
Гол
К. Лааснер (assist: Т. Тенисте)
31'
Гол
М. Маги
35'
Автогол
В. Тсурилкин
79'
Гол
К. Лааснер (assist: Х. Кäблик)
80'
Гол
Х. Кäблик
87'
Гол
К. Лааснер (assist: Э. Моттус)
90+2'
Нереализованный пенальти
К. Лааснер (assist: К. Лааснер)
90+2'
Гол
К. Лааснер
The latest face-to-face meetings between Maardu - Tartu Welco

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