Match Prediction: Bolívar vs Gremio – CONMEBOL Sudamericana Betting Tips & Analysis

Forecast

The likely stronger side appears balanced between Bolivar and Gremio, but Gremio may hold a slight edge due to international exposure.
The match angle leans toward a Draw or X2, reflecting cautious probabilities in a continental clash.
Risk is moderate due to potential tactical approaches and away constraints in a neutral venue.
Betting lean: X2 (draw or away win) offers value with a safe baseline given balanced odds.

Finished July 24, 01:00
Bolívar Bolívar
Gremio Gremio
General
Sport Football
League CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Country World
Season 2026
Tour/Round -
Date/time July 24, 01:00
Status Finished
Referee Roberto Perez Gutierrez, Peru
Stadium -
Comparing commands
Form
Home 0%
Guests 100%
Attack
Home 0%
Guests 100%
Protection
Home 100%
Guests 0%
Goals
Home 0%
Guests 0%
H2H
Home 0%
Guests 0%
Result
Home 0%
Guests 0%

Prediction and Historical Statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana World · 2026
Prediction

Winner: None

Home: 33% Draw: 33% Away: 33%

Advice: No predictions available

Goals:

W Win D Draw L Loss
Bolívar
Bolívar

Goals: 0.0 avg scored / 0.0 avg conceded

Gremio
Gremio

Form: LWDWWD

Matches: 6 played (W: 3, D: 2, L: 1)

Goals: 1.3 avg scored / 0.5 avg conceded

Clean sheets: 4

Failed to score: 2

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Analytics

Basic forecast
Pick: X2 (draw or away win).
Reason: Gremio’s experience in continental fixtures supports resilience; Bolivar can press but may struggle to convert possession into goals.
The market favors a balanced outcome; the draw remains plausible in a tight 90 minutes.
A secondary check: BTTS Yes could be viable if both teams press for goals, but primary pick stays X2.
Total forecast
Total goals forecast: Under 2.5 goals.
Reason: Tight engagement expected with disciplined defenses and cautious buildup.
Both teams may prioritize control in the early stages, limiting open chances.
If a goal is scored, it could come late, keeping the total under 2.5 plausible.
Bolívar
Bolívar
Bolivar plays with compact defense and structured approach, seeking to control the tempo at home.
Their strength lies in disciplined organization and set-piece potential in this level.
Weaknesses may include finishing quality and vulnerability to quick counterattacks.
Matchup fit: Bolivar’s organization could frustrate opponents and support a tighter game, boosting under-betting value.
Gremio
Gremio
Gremio brings continental experience and a balanced attack with willingness to press high.
Strengths include versatile attacking options and solid midfield control.
Weaknesses could involve defensive lapses on the road and adapting to unfamiliar environments.
Matchup fit: Gremio’s pressure and tempo management align with aiming for at least a draw or away win, supporting the X2 bet.

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Other Matches

Match Stats / H2H / Form

Lineups for the match
Bolívar
Bolívar
Starting line-up
No1 Weverton Goalkeeper
No7 C. Pavón Defender
No43 Luis Eduardo Defender
No3 Wagner Leonardo Defender
No54 Pedro Gabriel Defender
No20 M. Villasanti Midfielder
No33 L. Pérez Midfielder
No17 Dodi Midfielder
No21 Tetê Forward
No22 M. Braithwaite Forward
No99 J. Enamorado Forward
Substitutes
No6 Gustavo Martins Defender
No11 M. Monsalve Midfielder
No37 Gabriel Mec Forward
No5 J. Nardoni Midfielder
No12 Gabriel Grando Goalkeeper
No4 W. Kannemann Defender
No38 Caio Paulista Defender
No14 Marcos Rocha Defender
No10 Willian Midfielder
No50 Bernardo Zortea Midfielder
No65 Riquelme Freitas Midfielder
No30 Matheus Nascimento Forward

Coach: Luis Castro

Gremio
Gremio
Starting line-up
No1 C. Lampe Goalkeeper
No2 Jesús Sagredo Defender
No5 S. Echeverría Defender
No3 X. Arreaga Defender
No4 J. Sagredo Defender
No14 R. Matheus Midfielder
No6 E. Vaca Midfielder
No80 C. Melgar Midfielder
No17 P. Rodríguez Midfielder
No27 D. Asprilla Forward
No9 M. Cauteruccio Forward
Substitutes
No8 L. Paz Defender
No23 L. Justiniano Midfielder
No13 D. Méndez Goalkeeper
No16 Leonardo Zabala Defender
No35 E. Rivero Defender
No33 F. Mena Defender
No26 E. Saavedra Midfielder
No10 B. Arce Midfielder
No18 L. Chávez Midfielder
No19 J. García Midfielder
No7 J. Velásquez Forward
No77 D. Romero Forward

Coach: Soria Camacho Vladimir

Events of the Bolívar - Gremio match
Bolívar
Bolívar
Gremio
Gremio
Гол
М. Каутеруккио (assist: П. Родрíгуез)
2'
16'
Гол
М. Вилласанти
Гол
Р. Матеус
18'
23'
Гол
Тетê
54'
Желтая карточка
Л. Пéрез
Гол
Д. Асприлла (assist: Джесúс Сагредо)
58'
60'
Substitution 1
Луис Эдуардо (assist: Густаво Мартинс)
60'
Substitution 2
Тетê (assist: М. Монсалве)
60'
Substitution 3
Дж. Энаморадо (assist: Габриел Мек)
Substitution 1
Джесúс Сагредо (assist: Л. Паз)
64'
Substitution 2
Э. Вака (assist: Л. Джустиниано)
64'
67'
Substitution 4
М. Вилласанти (assist: Дж. Нардони)
72'
Желтая карточка
Габриел Мек
Substitution 3
М. Каутеруккио (assist: Л. Чáвез)
81'
Substitution 4
П. Родрíгуез (assist: Дж. Велáскуез)
81'
Substitution 5
Р. Матеус (assist: Д. Ромеро)
84'
90'
Substitution 5
М. Браитваите (assist: Матеус Наскименто)
The latest face-to-face meetings between Bolívar - Gremio

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